The Spectacle Blog

Elections and Foreign Policy

By on 11.2.06 | 9:38AM

Robert Kagan has a thoughtful piece in today's Washington Post arguing that whether or not Democrats win, the U.S. probably won't withdraw from Iraq or back off from international entanglements in general. Among the points he makes:

Indeed, the preferred European scenario -- "Bush hobbled" -- is less likely than the alternative: "Bush unbound." Neither the president nor his vice president is running for office in 2008. That is what usually prevents high-stakes foreign policy moves in the last two years of a president's term.

I have always taken that into account when considering whether or not the U.S. would take military action against Iran. Under the circumstances that Kagan lays out, it's possible that with nothing to lose in 2008, President Bush would authorize air strikes on Iranian nuclear sites.

A Product of Her City

By on 11.2.06 | 8:25AM

The New York Times reports today that some Republican candidates are trying in their advertisements to invoke the idea of boogeyman Rep. Nancy Pelosi as the next House Speaker. Some interviewed for the article -- including Pelosi herself -- say it is a likely-to-fail strategy, because few people in the country know who she is.

But they know what San Francisco is, which is why it just might work.



Reaction to Romney

By on 11.2.06 | 7:34AM

George Will may think Mitt Romney "will emerge from this bruising (election) season with enlarged prospects" (no, not a Mark Foley line) for the presidency because of Sen. George Allen's missteps on the campaign trail, but the Massachusetts governor got booed in his home state yesterday at a Red Auerbach tribute.

I know, I know, it happens all the time to politicians at sports-related events...

Speaking Of Kerry

By on 11.1.06 | 9:42PM

Wow! Go here and look at all the Democrats finally doing the right thing and criticizing one of their own.

You'd think there was an election or something.

Kerry May Not Save The GOP

By on 11.1.06 | 9:33PM

Also, said friend told me he was at a party for GOP volunteers where the mood was quite glum. Lots of dispirited people complaining about Iraq, gay marriage, immigration, and spending. Some were declining to volunteer this time around on election day. Others were looking foward to 2008.

The party ended early.

The Law Of Unintended Consequences

By on 11.1.06 | 9:25PM

A friend sends me the link to this article:

Reps. Christopher Shays, Nancy Johnson and Rob Simmons - GOP moderates in a Democratic-leaning state - have been on everyone's vulnerable list for months. Democrats need to gain 15 seats to win the House, and the three Connecticut districts consistently have been part of the calculation. Lieberman has the support of 73 percent of Republicans and 51 percent of independents, according to a Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday. Schlesinger trailed far behind in single digits in the head-to-head matchup. Lieberman's coattails could carry the GOP incumbents to re-election and undercut Democratic hopes of majority control of the House. "It does help me," Shays said in a recent interview. "I know there will be a lot of Republicans who will vote for him, as well as a lot of independents and Democrats. ... Joe is the kind of person who reaches across the political divide, and I am like that as well."

Said friend writes:

Re: Delay

By on 11.1.06 | 8:00PM

Yes, the article I linked to described the write-in procedure as well, and you're right, most likely it's too complicated and Republicans will lose the seat. But the conventional wisdom has been that the seat is a sure pickup for Democrats, so I found it worth noting that a Gibbs win is within the realm of possibility.

IF DEMS WIN – GAS INSTANTLY WILL BE $7 per gallon

By on 11.1.06 | 6:32PM

ATT MR. and MS. MIDDLE CLASS FAMILY

Would gas at $7 per gallon - jumping up all at once - influence your lifestyle?

If so - be worried - because $7 / gallon is roughly the monetized equivalent of letting the Democrats allow the Bush's tax cuts to sunset out.

Figure one thousand gallons of gas per year, and figure a tax rise (including vanishing child tax credits) of $4,000. Place those four thousand dollars onto the thousand gallons of gas and - voila - you have $7 at the pump.

Be warned.

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