Jed, last night John Batchelor pressed an analyst from Stratfor.com on Iran's actual intentions. The analyst said that as long as Iran "didn't cross the line," there would be something Iran could settle for as a nuclear power in the Middle East, something, he implied, that could be acceptable to the United States, too.
How can this be? President Bush memorably said, at West Point, that you can't wait for Chicago to be in smoke before reacting to a threat, and surely that's right -- especially in the case of a mad theocracy with nuclear weapons.
I don't see Iran being happy to "settle" for anything. And I don't see any way out than some kind of military action, probably within the year.
How do you see it? Generals always consider logistics first, and the logistics are awful.