I believe Scott Walker will still be governing Wisconsin tomorrow morning. Here are five reasons why.
1. Tom Barrett - Walker already beat him two years ago. What makes anyone the result will change? For all the controversy surrounding Walker's reforms, Barrett hasn't put forth a viable alternative as to how he would restore Wisconsin's finances other than to speak of "shared sacrifice" and "creative cooperation."
Although as far as Democrats go, Barrett is a fairly moderate one. That doesn't exactly fire up the unions and other left-wing activists behind the recall effort.
2. The Recall People are Loons - O.K., maybe not all of them. I am sure there are reasonable people who genuinely disagree with Walker's reforms without thinking he's the devil incarnate. But that's not the public face of this movement. When you have a movement that roars its approval when Jesse Jackson compares Walker to George Wallace or when a union leader likens Walker's reforms to the attacks of the September 11, 2001, they don't exactly come off like people grounded in reason and sobriety. It might explain why public sector unions are less popular with Badger State residents than President Obama.
3. President Obama - All the President has been prepared to muster for Barrett is a lousy tweet followed up with an e-mail. If Obama thought Barrett had a chance in hell of unseating Walker, he would have directed Air Force One to make a stop in Oshkosh. But Obama has been avoiding Wisconsin at all costs and would just as soon spend the day with Benjamin Netanyahu. Obama isn't about to expend energy on a loser when he has his re-election to worry about.
4. Governor Scott Walker - Despite the best efforts of recall supporters to portray Walker as the embodiment of evil, it has failed miserably. Walker comes across as an earnest individual who is diligently carrying out the promises he made to the people of Wisconsin.
5. Wisconsin is Better Off with Walker - Although Walker is portrayed as a polarizing figure by the liberal media, polling data suggests the silent majority in Wisconsin favor Walker's efforts and that these measures will make Wisconsin better off in the long run. So why change horses in midstream?
Now I realize that the people of Wisconsin will soon render their decision, not some guy from Boston who listens to Scott Walker's music. No, not that Scott Walker. This Scott Walker. It is entirely possible I could be completely wrong and look rather silly in the process. But the above factors lead me to believe that Scott Walker will make American political history and become the first Governor to survive a recall challenge. I believe the sun will shine for Scott Walker.
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