The Spectacle Blog

Obama Loses The Midwest

By on 10.15.10 | 8:35PM

Midwestern states that Obama won in 2008* have turned against the Democrats, Stephen Hayes notes. He focuses on Ohio, but:

It's not just Ohio. If the vote counts on Election Day look anything like the polls today, the region will be solid red on the color-coded maps in newspapers on Nov. 3.

In Iowa former Republican Gov. Terry Branstad, up by more than 15 points in most polls, seems almost certain to defeat incumbent Gov. Chet Culver. In Wisconsin, polls show GOP gubernatorial candidate Scott Walker with a lead in the high single digits over Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett, and political neophyte Ron Johnson is ahead by a similar margin against three-term Democratic Sen. Russ Feingold.

In Michigan, GOP gubernatorial candidate Rick Snyder is crushing Lansing Mayor Virg Bernero by some 20 points. Republicans are even competitive in Mr. Obama's home state, with Republican Bill Brady holding a narrow lead over incumbent Gov. Pat Quinn, and Republican Rep. Mark Kirk in a dead heat with banker Alexi Giannoulias in the race for Mr. Obama's old seat in the Senate.

This is a stunning change. In 2004 [sic], Mr. Obama swept the region-painting the electoral map deep blue over a seven-state belt stretching from Iowa to Ohio. He won Iowa (+9), Minnesota (+10), Wisconsin (+14), Michigan (+17), Indiana (+1), Ohio (+4) and his home state of Illinois (+25).

In Obama's defense, he did promise change.

*Fixed 10/17 (I had previously echoed the "2004" error in the quoted text).

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