The Spectacle Blog

Gallup: Obama Leads Hillary By 15 Points in Hypothetical 2012 Matchup

By on 9.30.10 | 3:42PM

A new Gallup poll finds that President Obama would beat Hillary Clinton by a 52 percent to 37 percent margin in a hypothetical 2012 matchup.

The idea of an Obama-Clinton rematch sometimes comes up in Washington conversations, but I've never taken it seriously. There's no good reason why Clinton would burn bridges and launch an underdog bid to challenge Obama when if she waits four more years, she would be in much stronger position. With Vice President Biden too old to run for president after Obama, that leaves Clinton the most prominent administration official available in 2016. Assuming she continues to serve Obama without much controversy, she can help diminish her problems with his loyal supporters. She can leave the administration at some point to write a book and plan out a 2016 run. This pathway to the 2016 Democratic nomination could be viable whether or not Obama gets re-elected. I'm not saying this is what is going to happen, but only that it makes a lot more sense than her challenging Obama in 2012.

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