It's that time of year again when weather watchers -- namely NOAA -- start predicting how many storms the hurricane season will produce. There's been a lot of talk here at Heartland's Fourth International Conference on Climate Change about the infancy of the science and about how much is still unknown about how the complex climate system works. Well, today my friends at the National Center for Public Policy Research announced the launch of their own hurricane forecast center led by Dr. James Hansimian, whose predictive methods they expect to at least match, if not improve upon, NOAA's forecasting track record:
The intended point from NCPPR:
The video isn't intended to needle NOAA for its erroneous forecasts, but to make a larger point about our current understanding of climate.
"NOAA's forecasts have been wrong not because of a lack of dedication or competence of its forecast team, but because climate science is really still its infancy," said Amy Ridenour, president of The National Center for Public Policy Research. "We should remember this as we consider whether to adopt economically-ruinous caps on energy. If we can't rely on 6-month forecasts, how can rely on forecasts of what rising carbon concentrations will do to our climate 25, 50 or even 100 years out?"
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