The Spectacle Blog

Re: Alito and the Betrayal Margin

By on 1.29.06 | 2:18PM

John B.: I get the impression from the tone of your posts that you're completely misreading the situation on the Hill.

There is no way that Alito is going to be stopped. Unless they're really, really stupid, the Dems calling for a filibuster don't actually want a successful filibuster. They want to convince their far left base (which is really stupid) that they've done all they can. If the cloture vote fails, the judicial filibuster will be swiftly killed for good on a simple majority vote (the so-called nuclear option). It will represent a massive miscalculation by the Democrats. We should be hoping for that, not fearing it.

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Alito and the Betrayal Margin

By on 1.29.06 | 1:46PM

Choral member Democrats falling in line, D-Day Minus 1:

Obama indicates he will vote for cloture and asks a sensible question: why would any Democrat vote yes for cloture if he or she aimed to vote no on the Alito nomination on the Senate floor?

Also Lieberman, a Doubtful Dem as of Friday, now falls in with the chorus and says he will vote no for cloture on Monday afternoon.

Moving count, this leaves the cloture vote still in doubt.

Among the Dems, only Nelson, Johnson and Byrd of Deep Red States are pledged to vote for cloture.

Dems Dorgan and Conrad of Deep Red North Dakota are considered likely cloture yes votes.

However this means that the wobbly Republican senators now are critical to the Frist led cloture vote. Losing even one red senator makes the task to get to 60 most arduous.

Snowe of Blue Maine and Chafee of Blue Rhode Island are considered uncertain, and they are both standing reelection in activist dominated small states, where a rush of outside (netroot or DNC cash) help could send them to defeat. The mention of Stevens of Alaska as wobbly appears specious.

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Cindy for Senator

By on 1.29.06 | 9:17AM

Cindy Sheehan may challenge Sen. Dianne Feinstein for in the Democratic primary this spring, ABC reports. Here's hoping for some political entertainment...

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Alito Cloture Not Done

By on 1.29.06 | 12:39AM

Reverse engineering intelligence gathered from the Democrat blog sites, informed by the report of a delightfully frantic phone call by Ted Kennedy to the so-called netroots with regard whom among his colleagues he doubts, the Alito filibuster fight centers around eleven Doubtful Democrats.

The Doubtful Democrats are Pryor and Lincoln of Arkansas, Cantwell and Murray of Washington, Baucus of Montana, Dorgan and Conrad of North Dakota, Bayh of Indiana, Lautenberg and Menendez of New Jersey, Lieberman of Connecticut.

Breaking this eleven down, there are six in red states and seven in blue states.

As of this moment, Nelson of Red Nebraska and Byrd of Red West Virginia and Johnson of Red South Dakota are pledged to vote with the GOP for cloture. (Add to this the most likely and all but announced, determined, certain cloture votes of Democrats Dorgan and Conrad of Red North Dakota. )

The summary is that at this moment there are now five reliable Red State Democrats to join fifty-five Republicans for cloture.

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Unfinished Story of Iraqi WMD

By on 1.28.06 | 10:08PM

Speaking routinely now with Steve Hayes of the Weekly Standard and John Loftus of IntelligenceSummit.org and also my best source with regard the Byzantine tale of the Iraqi WMD program that cannot be proved or unproved by the public record of facts established since the capture of Baghdad in April 2003.

I mention again the promising mysterious treasure said to be coming to all of us within the next month. John Loftus is in possession of a CD that came to him by a reportedly trustworthy route that represents a collection of recorded sessions from 1988 to early this century (perhaps as late as 2002) in which Saddam Hussein plots with thirty other voices to supervise and conceal WMD.

The voice of Saddam Hussein is now verified by trustworthy agent; the voice of Tariq Aziz is verified by trustworthy agent. Blix and ElBaredi are said to be mentioned most disparingly and or damangingly. The core topic is how to manipulate inquiries and searches for WMD, after the Gulf War I, 1990-91, during the UN inspection regime from 1991-98, after the inspectors returned to Baghdad in 2002.

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Lib Blogs Change Meds

By on 1.28.06 | 5:44PM

Someone must have cut off their absinthe and Prozac. The lib blogs are going nuts over the Kerry mini-buster against the Alito nomination. The Boys from Lord of the Flies -- the DailyKos temper tanrtum teens, FireDogLake and Democratunderground, among others -- are all linking arms and running toward the same cliff. Apparently, Teddy was on the phone with them asking for "netroots" help with the Dems who -- so far -- haven't joined up with them. The Filibuster crew now numbers about 15. Which is a long way from 41.

The most interesting part of this is that Hillary has endorsed the filibuster. Poor Chuckie Schumer. For once, someone beat him to a microphone. He must be distraught.

Keep an eye on this one. What will the NYT say tomorrow? Until we know that, we can't know how the rest of the Dems will go. NYT, after all, is their think tank cum operational commander. (I wonder what Jill Abrahamson has in store for tomorrow?)

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Kerry Nonchalants the Filibuster

By on 1.28.06 | 12:55AM

Senate source concludes that the Kerry appearance today was a fundraising maneuver to gain bona fides with the lefty donors.

Kerry arrived, spoke for thirty minutes, then tried to slip away from reporters. Made nonchalant gestures, said he was just part of an effort to prevent extremism, and so forth, and then dove into car to return to the good life.

The Democrats demonstrate the discipline of an NCAA Division 1 0-16 college basketball team. They're going to win one, just maybe not this season.

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President Persian Paranoid Still Missing

By on 1.27.06 | 3:16PM

Speculation about the missing Persian bloodhound Ahmadinejad: Why does he disappear for a week of work days after returning from war council with al-Assads and (reportedly) Mugniyeh at Damascus?

A national air defense exercise is one rational if apparently disproportionate explanation.

But are the Tehran tyrants truly expecting a bombing run at them now, or near to now, when the IAEA meeting and the Russian nuclear fuel cycle negotiation fail? Is the Tehran tyranny so discontinuous from the Great Satan and his kind that the leadership misreads us this wildly?

Yes.

More bluntly, the record suggests that Persian paranoia is justified. The record suggests that it would be irrational and irresponsible for Ahmadinejad not to plan for a strike along with a coup, assassinations, general all weather subversion by the Great Satan.

For example, the record shows that on August 2, 1953, the Tehran population voted freely and openly 99.9% in favor of giving the then-superstar Premier Mohammed Mossadegh the power to dissolve the troublesome, British and US and Russian purchased Majlis and to run Iran as a nation yearning to be free.

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Tonight on Larry Kudlow

By on 1.27.06 | 1:35PM

Tonight, our very own Jed Babbin will be a guest on CNBC's Kudlow and Company. Tune in between 5 p.m. and 6 p.m.

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A Chink in Russert’s Armor

By on 1.27.06 | 11:13AM

As John Tabin mentioned earlier this week, Tim Russert's drawing fire for flacking his son's (and James Carville's) sports show on XM. Arianna Huffington's attacks (Russert's her perennial whipping boy) this week have drawn blood from the NBC press office (hat tip: fishbowlDC).

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