The Spectacle Blog
John: Don't drink the stability-flavored Kool Aid, as Gen. Tony Zinni apparently has. Zinni's appearance on MTP a little while ago made him look like what Wesley Clark always wanted to be but wasn't: a credible Dem presidential candidate.
Batchelor has it about 90% right. Peace and stability in the Middle East were the factors that enabled bin Laden, Hizballah and their ilk to grow powerful. For the forseeable future, peace and stability here mean war there, and vice versa.
I don't subscribe to John's prediction of Iranian military action against America in the next few weeks. But what they will do when they have a deployable nuclear weapon will make us yearn for the good old days of September 1939.
... that Peter Baker's a poor journalist.
See how easy it is? If you're a "straight" (objective) journalist, if you want to editorialize, all you do is preface the comment with "critics say."
Peter Baker takes it to new heights with his "The President as Average Joe": "To many critics, such forums feel contrived, and the fratboy towel-snapping humor unbecoming." What critics? What fratboy towel-snapping humor? Baker doesn't even bother to gather anonymous quotes to support this. But he recites it as Conventional Wisdom. It's probably the Conventional Wisdom of the White House Press Corps.
This stuff is properly run in Slate. Unfortunately for Baker, they already have that slot filled: John Dickerson.
Maybe Michael Kinsley is right: objectivity in the news is an illusion at best. Opinion journalism is more honest because it doesn't have to hide its point of view.
"If Iran makes another strategic mistake," runs the Telegraph, "such as ignoring demands by the UN or future resolutions, then the thinking among the chiefs is that military action could be taken to bring an end to the crisis. The belief in some areas of Whitehall is that an attack is now all but inevitable."
The greatest strategic mistake Tehran could make is an act of conventional aggression. Even the smallest incident could do. Even by proxy, if the line was drawn clearly between connected dots. Rearmament is one thing; remilitarizing the Rhineland another. Ours must be the second-itchiest trigger finger.
1. Tehran believes that the US national security apparatus cannot deal with a foreign crisis in an election year.
2. Tehran believes that the US will exit Iraq with its tail tucked.
3. Tehran believes that the US will not fight for Israeli sovereignty in the territories.
4. Tehran believes that the Ahmadinejad regime can ride out the blitz in its bunkers and emerge the winner when the UN or the Vatican or Russia brokers a ceasefire.
5. Tehran believes that the Bush Administration has lost its ability to rally the US's traditional allies.
Best signals source identifies the last week of noise in Baghdad as the turning point. Tehran plays checkmate.
Also, indicates a bloody minded war council in West Beirut with Nasrallah of HizbAllah, Meshal of Hamas, and ops from Mugniyah, Zarqawi and IJ on the West Bank (subset of AlAqsa).
Also, note that the Iran naval exercises in the Gulf are at two reinforced brigade strength, and they are practicing ship seizures and beach landings.
It's November. It's 1941. Sauve qui peut.
There's worse. Am not permitted to detail. Am open source only, am not crossing the line.
War warning, part 3. See the Telegraph report above. This is not idle gaming. US strategic position is flabby. National security apparatus is unhorsed.
BBC Defence Correspondent Paul Wood said US plans for a possible strike are thought to be at an advanced stage.
Under the category of “news reports that we wish were April Fools’ jokes but aren’t," a few of the day’s pickings:
In her official statement on the confrontation she had with a police officer last week, Cynthia McKinney contended, "Throughout my tenure in Congress, I seem to evoke memory loss, especially from certain police officers who claim not to be able to recognize my face while I go to work everyday, representing the people of Georgia's 4th Congressional District."
Recent Reason hire Dave Weigel, however, has put forward a theory for this "memory loss" outside of racial profiling: A potato-and-cake diet. Check out the pictoral evidence here.