The end of the world is upon us. Soon the federal government
will start to increase its spending more slowly than originally
planned. The numbers are terrifying. Spending will rise about $44
billion less this year due to sequestration, with future “cuts”
bringing the total to $85 billion.
It is very difficult to see how our $15 trillion economy will
survive this retrenchment, forcing government programs to make due
on a more than $3.5 trillion federal budget. If this dangerous
trend continues, federal spending will increase by $2 trillion over
the next decade instead of $2 trillion.
By now it should be obvious that I am being sarcastic. But the
media outrage about the sequester is wildly disproportionate to the
numbers that are actually involved. We cannot seriously address
Washington’s unfunded liabilities if non-cuts of this magnitude
cannot even be contemplated.
Almost as precious as the media’s coverage of baby seals is the
political class’ blame game. Let’s get real. In 2011, the president
and Congress could not reach an agreement over deficit reduction.
So they put together a “super committee,” made up of members of
Congress, to try to come up with such an agreement.
Shock of shocks, these legislators still disagreed about how to
reduce the deficit. Everyone involved knew the super committee was
likely to fail from the beginning. That was the whole point of the
sequester: a series of across-the-board spending cuts attacking
both parties’ budget priorities. It was the only way the super
committee approach was deemed to have a chance.
Yet it still failed and the two parties are still far apart on
deficit reduction. In this sense, sequestration really does
represent the least bad option to many Republicans and
Democrats.
There are two legitimate objections to sequestration, one
political and the other policy-oriented. Politically, Republicans
will be handing Democrats something to blame for an economy that is
slowing because of tax increases. In terms of policy, sequestration
is not an ideal way to make budget choices and is particularly hard
on defense spending for no good reason.
But if relatively modest budget reductions that have current law
on their side can’t happen, then no real spending cuts can ever
happen. And if entitlements and interest payments on the debt
aren’t eventually dealt with, defense will keep getting
squeezed.