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Below are some general observations on the National Review Institute Summit held in Washington, D.C. this past weekend on “The Future of Conservatism.”

Despite the setbacks that were experienced at the national level in 2012, there was a palpable sense among speakers and attendees that the Republican Party has a stronger bench heading into 2016. That much is for certain since there are 30 Republican governors, many of them right leaning, and many of them advancing innovative police solutions rooted in conservative ideas.

Go back over the past few decades, and it would seem governors typically make for compelling presidential candidates than U.S. Senators. Then again, those same U.S. Senators were weighed down by long-careers with public records that could be picked apart. Barack Obama broke the mold here; rising GOP stars like Marco Rubio and Rand Paul can too. Whoever does emerge will need to address the “demographic challenges” that also figured prominently in the discussion.

Here are a few of the highlights:

  • Gov. Scott Walker of Wisconsin offered up his own version of Richard Nixon’s “Silent Majority” in his talk. Yes, there were thousands of well-organized protesters who turned out in force to keep their taxpayer-funded union benefits. But they were vastly outnumbered, he said, by citizens who wanted to reclaim control of government.
  • Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas advised listeners to “stop reading the New York Times” and to change the national narrative so people understand the “pie is not fixed” but can grow and expand with pro-growth economic policies. Once this happens, redistribution loses its appeal, he said.
  • Michael Barone, a resident scholar with American Enterprise Institute, said “Republicans are challenged by demographics, but not doomed.” President Obama only carried 207 congressional districts compared to 228 for Mitt Romney, he said. So a permanent Democratic majority does not appear to be in order. Ralph Reed, the former head of the Christian Coalition, who now heads up the Faith and Freedom Coalition, told audience members that Ronald Reagan would have lost the 2012 election with his voter totals from 1980. Kellyanne Conway, president and CEO of the Polling Company, said that contrary what was been widely reported single woman carry about a lot more than just contraception and abortion.
  • A very interesting theory on the re-election of President Obama emerged from the discussion between NR columnist Kevin Williamson, and Harold Hamm, CEO of Continental Resources, Inc. Hamm said it was possible that the natural gas revolution made possible by hydraulic fracturing (or fracking) may have, in a roundabout sort of way, helped Obama politically by improving the economy just enough in key states like say Pennsylvania.
  • Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform (ATF), reminded listeners that every time Republican presidents tried to deal honorably with Democrats and extract real spending cuts in exchange some tax increases, those spending cuts never emerged. “Step one, don’t raise taxes,” he said.
  • Darcy Olsen, president and CEO of the Goldwater Institute, had some interesting thoughts where step two may be involved. “The rival to power is power,” she said. “The rival to Washington, D.C. is the states.” In Arizona, voters rivaled Washington, D.C. with legislation that saved the secret ballot from union perfidy, she said.

There was also a lot of discussion of media bias. But conservatism previously found expression when there was less parity in the media than there is today. The Republican governors, who were such a prominent part of the Summit, are not exactly media darlings yet they prevailed with conservative policies that connected with voters. I agree with that part about a deep bench.

View all comments (7) |

Bob K| 1.28.13 @ 10:44PM

These "highlights" seem to indicate that the future of Conservatism will be just as incoherent as it's present is.

JimH| 1.29.13 @ 7:57AM

Grover Norquist, president of Americans for Tax Reform (ATF), reminded listeners that every time Republican presidents tried to deal honorably with Democrats and extract real spending cuts in exchange some tax increases, those spending cuts never emerged.

Not just taxes. In pretty much any bi-partisan (always a danger sign) deal, The GOP plays Charlie Brown to the Dem's Lucy.

Derek Leaberry| 1.29.13 @ 11:22AM

Conservatives have lost the culture. Conservatives are now outnumbered demographically, a situation that is increasing. The nation is in no mood to make meaningful cuts in the gargantuan welfare state. The Republican Party- witness Marco Rubio on immigration and Bobby Jindal on demographics- is already intending to betray the conservative base of the party.

Conservatives are absolutely out of power. It will be best to stay out of the way before the whole system implodes.

Redfray | 1.29.13 @ 12:25PM

I'm not sure I can believe the story about the oil pushing the pennsylvania toward the democrats. It was and still is the cheating factor that is a better story. It sure went under the rug quickly. Impossible to get 100% voting in a district, becasue not everybody gets a long that well. There is no reasonable explanation why all of a district would vote totally and have 100 % voters for one person. Nobody will get me to believe that.

Derek Leaberry| 1.29.13 @ 12:28PM

The blacks of Philadelphia had the president's back. And the suburban Philadelphia women remained loyal to the Party of Estrogen.

Bob K| 1.29.13 @ 6:33PM

Your suspicions are essentially correct.

Virtually the entire Natural Gas area of PA went Republican in 2010 which was no surprise because they have a plurality there. That year the Republicans also took control of the Governor's office and both houses of the legislature and elected a new Republican Senator and added a couple of new Republican Congressmen.

The Republicans retained control of State in the 2012 elections but lost the electoral college vote because of 2 factors. The city of Philadelphia helped carry state for Obama with lots of help from voter fraud and lots of middle class Reagan Democrats living in the Republican Shale Gas area did not turn out to vote for Romney because he never approached them for their votes.

Bob K| 1.29.13 @ 6:42PM

And that is a further comment on the "incoherency" of the Conservative movement when they cannot analyze election losses in the states.

The party leadership has to either get it's heads out of the beltway or out of their asses. Preferably both.

More Blog Posts by Kevin Mooney

http://spectator.org/blog/2013/01/28/the-bench-delivers-nr-summit-h

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