TEL AVIV — If you read The New Yorker, you might have
seen
9000 words from David Remnick about how Israeli politics is
being taken over by right-wing crazies, led by Naftali Bennett’s
Jewish Home party. If you don’t read The New Yorker,
congratulations: You didn’t waste your time.
The big story of the election is the strong showing by Yesh
Atid, a new centrist party led by former journalist and TV host
Yair Lapid. Benjamin Netanyahu will, as expected, be prime minister
again, but Yesh Atid will be the second-largest party in the next
Knesset, and is likely to be invited into Netanyahu’s coalition. We
don’t have the final breakdown of the Knesset yet, but an
ideologically diverse (and therefore unstable) coalition, including
not only Lapid but parties to his left, is quite possible. So much
for the swing to right-wing extremism.
But it would be a mistake to overread the result as a swing to
the left on the issues that non-Israelis focus on, like Iran or
West Bank settlement policy; this was a campaign that was focused,
to larger degree than usual, on domestic issues. Along with
economic issues, there’s controversy over the special treatment of
the Haredim (the so-called ultra-Orthodox), including their
exemption from military service, which Lapid seeks to reform; it’s
an issue that came to a head for legal reasons last year, and one
on which Nethanyahu’s current governing coalition has been
hamstrung by its dependence on Haredi parties.
That was among the concerns cited by my right-leaning cab driver
this morning (I know, I know — this is a justly-derided cliche of
lazy journalism, but indulge me for a minute), when he was still
undecided, torn between Netanyahu, Bennett, and Lapid. I don’t know
how he voted, but he was hardly unique; pollster Stephan Miller,
speaking to reporters at an event here hosted by The Israel Project
and the Government Press Office, emphasized an unusually large
number of undecided voters late in the campaign. It would seem that
many of those undecideds broke to Lapid’s party, and (in part
because polling is banned in the final few days before the
election), it came as quite a surprise to many observers.
Especially New Yorker readers.
RCV| 1.23.13 @ 11:23AM
Lapid scored unexpectedly well because there is a growing belief among Israelis that Netanyahu has foolishly damaged Israeli-US relations by picking fights with our President.