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So yes.

I voted.

Right here in the heart of the suddenly-in-play Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.

When I asked one of the poll workers about the turnout thus far… that would be at about 11 A.M. … there was a one word answer: “Heavy.”

What does that mean? For a Republican presidential candidate to carry the state the Philadelphia Democratic vote must be overcome. How? The Republican turn out in the four suburban counties around Philadelphia is always mentioned — and mentioned correctly. But the same rule applies to Central Pennsylvania, a mix of suburban and rural counties that extends in “T” shaped form up through the middle of the state from the Maryland border to the New York border and then extending east and west.

Two key issues that impact in Pennsylvania behind the jobs issue are Catholics and energy. Certainly the view is vivid in the Catholic Church that the Obama Administration has launched a direct assault on religious freedom — and that impacts in trying to get the substantial Catholic vote in places like Philadelphia, Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, Erie, and Pittsburgh. The second — energy — is about coal. The state is immutably identified with its coal resources in both Northeastern and Southwestern Pennsylvania. And as with Catholics, there is real anger at the direct assault on the coal industry that has been part of the Obama era.

Taken together, it’s no wonder the Romney campaign has abruptly dumped millions in here.

They were right to do so — Pennsylvania is in play.

What will tomorrow bring for America?

I agree with Quin and RET: President Romney. 

View all comments (7) |

Stan25| 11.6.12 @ 3:58PM

What about New York? The Sandy photo op by Barack Obama surely has to have some bearing on the way the people will vote. To be sure, there will be a lot of the residents that will vote for Obama, but I think that New York will be a total shock to everyone. Especially the pundit and political class.

RCV| 11.6.12 @ 10:06PM

It wasn't.

sane person| 11.6.12 @ 4:17PM

Nate Silver gives the advantage of Obama winning at slightly higher than 90%. That does not mean it is for certain, but that 9 out of 1 times, an Obama victory will happen.

With respect to the coal comment, the coal industries problem is not Obama, it is natural gas which has killed the coal industry because it is cheaper and less polluting.

Occam's Tool| 11.6.12 @ 5:10PM

Sorry. Romney gets 315 Plus electoral votes. Kneel to Zod, Libtards!

RCV| 11.6.12 @ 11:16PM

Well, Occam?

DRed| 11.6.12 @ 9:21PM

I don't think it's in play anymore, Jeff.

RCV| 11.6.12 @ 9:54PM

Jeffrey Lord is the most delusional of all! Has he EVER been right in a projection? Pennsylvania was never in play, and is now safely in Obama's electoral bag.

Stick to psychiatry, Occam.

More Blog Posts by Jeffrey Lord

http://spectator.org/blog/2012/11/06/pennsylvania-heavy-turnout-for

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