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The Spectacle Blog
Those counting on the Gallup poll of likely voters to confirm their sense of Romney’s leading Obama will no doubt be more than alarmed that numbers that had Romney ahead by 51-46 or 50-47 pre-Sandy now show him, post-Sandy, as currently played up big on Drudge, ahead only by a single point, 49-48.
UPDATE: Drudge is now playing up a 50-49 Romney advantage in the latest Gallup readings.
View all comments (10) | Leave a comment
More Blog Posts by Wlady Pleszczynski
http://spectator.org/blog/2012/11/05/cause-for-concern
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redcar| 11.5.12 @ 2:13PM
the big "they" keep forgetting 2010, and ask New Yorkers how they feel about big government
RAM| 11.5.12 @ 2:30PM
The best response to public opinion polls is to ignore them. Only the respective campaigns have any real clue, so watch how they behave.
Simon Templar| 11.5.12 @ 2:54PM
Here is another viewpoint from Rasmussen..
While every single poll on the planet predicts Democrats will enjoy a turnout advantage of three to eleven points, the latest Rasmussen survey of party affiliation taken throughout October shows that Republicans enjoy a huge 5.8% Party ID advantage going into the 2012 election.
According to Twitter's invaluable NumbersMuncher, Rasmussen correctly predicted 2008 would be a D+7 election and incorrectly predicted 2010 would be D+3. (2010 was D+0, or even, so Rasmussen gave an edge to Democrats they didn't have.)
If the 2012 race is D+2, Romney's probably going to win. If the race is R+6, Romney's going to enjoy a landslide.
The most important piece of information in this poll, though, is that Rasmussen's sample is a monstrous 15,000 likely voter. Moreover, Rasmussen's Party ID results match similar results found by Gallup and Pew.
Again, if Rasmussen is anywhere near as correct as he's been in the past, all of these polls showing Obama holding small leads, are dead wrong. They're under-sampling Republicans in a major way; predicting an electorate that looks like 2008.
Bob Grant| 11.5.12 @ 8:29PM
Simon,
None. NONE of these polls have considered the DVS factor - Democratic Voter Shenanigan Factor.
I truly believe it's worth a good 1 percentage point in democrats' must-win battleground states.
Look for all sorts of Chicago-style shenanigans in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and Nevada.
As a wise Winston Wolf once said: "Let's not start to su** each others' d**** just yet"
R Martin| 11.6.12 @ 7:32AM
Here's a voter fraud story. There was a mock election at my grandson's middle school yesterday. He was discussing the vote with a fellow student, an older boy who is a member of the minority group most associated with support for Obama. The kid admitted he voted for Obama nine times by using different browsers and falsifying his grade level. Nice.
R Martin| 11.6.12 @ 7:32AM
Here's a voter fraud story. There was a mock election at my grandson's middle school yesterday. He was discussing the vote with a fellow student, an older boy who is a member of the minority group most associated with support for Obama. The kid admitted he voted for Obama nine times by using different browsers and falsifying his grade level. Nice.
Oldefarte| 11.5.12 @ 4:36PM
http://www.newsmax.com/WayneAl...../id/462833
Occam's Tool| 11.5.12 @ 4:42PM
Libtards will be feeling the wrath of Elric of Melnibone and his Demonsword on Wednesday. As the horrible truth of Obama's loss hits them, their souls will literally be sucked out by Stormbringer. I forsee much wailing and gnashing of teeth among the Libtardees.
bluecollarbytes| 11.5.12 @ 7:54PM
This feels more like Christmas eve than 'The Day The Earth Stood Still' .
no concerns here
bison cookie| 11.6.12 @ 7:44AM
NO MORE YEARS – TOP 20 REASONS WHY A REGIME CHANGE IS IMPERATIVE. Here are the Top 20 reasons a regime change is imperative, now: 1. $5 Trillion in New Debt – By the end of FY 2012, Obama had added $5.3 trillion to the National Debt – almost one-third of the total ($16 trillion). He rolled up more debt in three years than the first 41 presidents … READ MORE: http://bwcentral.org/2012/11/n.....mperative/