For well over a century, the continent of Europe has tried to
solves crises by introducing rules aimed at stopping that crisis
from ever happening again, but all those rules have done is to sow
the seeds of the next crisis. We can see this happening with
startling clarity in the current proposal aimed at stopping the
Eurocrisis — the proposal for banking union. The idea is that
banks have become so tied to their countries’ governments, buying
their debt to what seems like the exclusion of all other
activities, that they are the source of Europe’s current woes. A
banking union, with bank regulatory activities like supervision and
deposit insurance centered in one place, would pool the risk and
allow the continent to blow off some steam. Or so the theory goes.
Of course, all banking union does is to introduce yet another,
bigger source of moral hazard into the system, and fails to address
the real problem of too much government. As such, it will fail to
solve the Eurocrisis. There may be some temporary relief, but as we
saw with the introduction of the Euro, the irresponsible
governments of Europe will take that as license to indulge in
whatever booms they can get away with, setting up bigger, wider
busts a few years down the line.
Which is why, though it pains me to say it, British Prime
Minister David Cameron was absolutely right in his assessment of
banking union in Westminster
yesterday. In answer to a question by Dr. Julian Lewis MP, he
said:
Over time, the more there is a banking union and a fiscal union,
the tighter the political union will be drawn, because — for
instance — German voters having to stand behind Greek deposits, or
French voters having to pay for the restructuring of a Spanish bank
are deeply political questions. In my view, as the eurozone deepens
its commitments, as is inevitable for a working single currency,
there will be pressures for further political union, and for
further treaties and treaty changes.
The fact is that banking union will lead to fiscal and political
union of the Eurozone. Sensible countries like Britain and Sweden
will have an opportunity to get out of this mess now before it
engulfs them. As for Germany, which has managed its fiscal position
well, it may be about to find out that more Europe is not the
answer to the last question, not this one.
Occam's Tool| 10.24.12 @ 11:48AM
They need children, and they are too lazy and self centered to get them. Therefore, they are doomed. Regardless of whether Mitt stabilizes our economy here (I think he will), the price of gold will go up because of the economic instability of a collapsing Europe which will be followed by a collapsing Middle East as the US becomes energy self-sufficient (and America's debt stabilizes as it becomes an energy exporter once again).
The only question I have is whether this improvement in the US poition will come starting next year, or after 4 more years of a cokehead in the White House. But I am optimistic about America long term.
Occam's Tool| 10.24.12 @ 11:49AM
Sorry, "US position."