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The Spectacle Blog
When Mitt Romney said in a Republican debate that illegal immigrants could be encouraged to self-deport, the smart people all laughed at him. But the latest Pew Hispanic Center report suggests that this may, in part, be happening. Consider:
- In the five-year period from 2005 to 2010, about 1.4 million Mexicans immigrated to the United States and about 1.4 million Mexican immigrants and their U.S.-born children moved from the United States to Mexico.
- In the five-year period a decade earlier (1995 to 2000), about 3 million Mexicans had immigrated to the U.S. and fewer than 700,000 Mexicans and their U.S. born-children had moved from the U.S. to Mexico.
- This sharp downward trend in net migration has led to the first significant decrease in at least two decades in the number of unauthorized Mexican immigrants living in the U.S.—to 6.1 million in 2011, down from a peak of nearly 7 million in 2007. Over the same period the number of authorized Mexican immigrants rose modestly, from 5.6 million in 2007 to 5.8 million in 2011.
Much of this has to do with relative economic conditions in the United States and Mexico. But immigration enforcement is also playing a role.
- Apprehensions of Mexicans trying to cross the border illegally have plummeted by more than 70% in recent years, from more than 1 million in 2005 to 286,000 in 2011—a likely indication that fewer unauthorized immigrants are trying to cross. This decline has occurred at a time when funding in the U.S. for border enforcement—including more agents and more fencing—has risen sharply.
- As apprehensions at the border have declined, deportations of unauthorized Mexican immigrants—some of them picked up at work or after being arrested for other criminal violations—have risen to record levels. In 2010, nearly 400,000 unauthorized immigrants—73% of them Mexicans—were deported by U.S. authorities.
- Although most unauthorized Mexican immigrants sent home by U.S. authorities say they plan to try to return, a growing share say they will not try to come back to the U.S. According to a survey by Mexican authorities of repatriated immigrants, 20% of labor migrants in 2010 said they would not return, compared with just 7% in 2005.
National Journal has an interesting take on what this could mean for the conventional wisdom about the Hispanic vote, long assumed to be a harbinger of Democratic dominance, going forward.
View all comments (15) | Leave a comment
More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III
http://spectator.org/blog/2012/04/24/romney-right-on-self-deportati
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Pete| 4.24.12 @ 3:07PM
Exactly what Sarah Palin said. The argument about busing millions is a red herring, no doubt perpetuated by Jeb Bush.
Sean| 4.24.12 @ 5:45PM
Eisenhower had the right idea. Follow his model and we won't have a problem. Many of them self deported when they knew we were serious about rounding them up and shipping them out.
Bill| 4.24.12 @ 3:10PM
VP list (short)
1. Kelly Ayotte: Women votes
2. Bob McDonald: Evangelic votes and the South
3. Pat Toomey: Swing state PA
4. Rob Portman: The Rust-Belt votes
5. Marco Rubio: Latino votes (Rubio's support on the DREAM ACT irritates me)
And the VP nominee is.......You decide.
Bill| 4.24.12 @ 3:11PM
The only way we can stop illegal immigration is by enforcing the existing laws: E-verify and deportation. No exceptions!
Al Adab| 4.24.12 @ 3:57PM
With the Arizona case in front of the Supreme Court, it is worth noting that according to reports from AZ, illegal immigration (migration actually) is down significantly. Maybe our states might want to look at this approach as well. Should not the States enforce federal law when the federal government refuses to do so?
Sean| 4.24.12 @ 5:46PM
The state have no problem helping enforce other federal laws why not immigration.
Dan| 4.24.12 @ 4:01PM
How can the GOP not push the Fast and Furious scandal during a Presidential election year, when so much of their hopes will depend on which way the Latin/Hispanic vote swings?
A serious party would push the scandal as far as they could, so as to demonstrate the real unconcern that this administration has for Mexicans.
jpc| 4.24.12 @ 4:59PM
Self deportation works IFFFF, we enforce immigration AND labor laws, which are supposed to prohibit illegal aliens from working.
JP| 4.24.12 @ 5:09PM
I've always stated that the Hispanic Block is over done. The Hispanics, unlike, African Americans, are not a solid block. And like African Americans, they do not turn out in large numbers. To say Hispanics will turn out and vote based upon racial preferences is absurd. Nationally, it has never come to pass.
And the future does not bode well for Dems who are relying on Hispanic votes in future generations. It all comes down to demographics. Yes, first generation Hispanics average 3.5-4 children per female. According to the Census of 2010, Hispanics accounted for nearly 50% of all live births in 2009. However, 2nd generation Hispanic females average at best 1.7 children per female. And in Mexico, the birth rate is plunging. In 1970, Mexico had a birthrate of 6.1 children. Today it is less than 2.4. By 2020, it will be below replacement levels.
The Hispanic demographic is a very fluid demographic. We really dont know how many of the 15-20 million actually remain in the US for any length of time. The high point of Hispanic immigration peaked between 2004-2007. Even in California, the rate of increase of illegal immigration is slowing quickly. WIthin 10 years, California's wealthy elite will have trouble finding cheap babysitters and lawn care people.
Dan| 4.24.12 @ 5:59PM
But the Democrats are seeking to transform them into a racial block, just like Black Americans.
As Sauron devoted all his thought to his ring of power, so too do Democrats devote all their thought towards that transformation, for once achieved, it will entail the definitive end of anglo-Americana, it will mean the end of any Caucasian influence in American politics.
It's the whole shooting match...........
Dave Francis| 4.24.12 @ 6:53PM
The illegal immigration Armageddon
Not that American citizens’ have any faith in what the U.S. government tells us, as I prefer to listen to people who live along the border fence. WASHINGTON D.C. TELLS US WHAT THE PUBLIC WANT TO HEAR? The populace has been lied to so much by those in power now, and even the GOP, that nothing that comes out of either of their mouths is at all trustworthy? Just look at the ‘Solyndra’ and gun running scandal and the unaccountable dollars spent for leisure by General Service’s administration. Personally I don’t trust any of them, therefore telling us the numbers of illegal aliens entry numbers are way down, can be taken with a pinch of salt? Many foreign nationals may have left, but what about the estimated 20 million plus, still squatting here. Are we not still paying for their ‘Foothold’ baby—that’s not peanuts? Taxpayers are nothing more than ‘beasts of burden’ for the rest of the world, who are continuously asked to give more..?
This Wednesday the U.S. High Court will hear Arizona vs. United States and its resistance to the incredible harassment of its policing statutes by the Department of Justice. SCOTUS will either, uphold S.B 1070 for this small defenseless border state, whose deficit was a monstrous 2.7 Billion dollars in 2009 or fall fail to the incompetent DOJ. Democratic Senator Charles Schumer said on Tuesday if the Supreme Court upholds Arizona's law, he will introduce legislation that prevents state and local authorities from enforcing their own immigration regulations. This would be the perfect storm to eject all the Democratic Senators, and their thrall of hard core Liberals out of Washington. These are the reasons that illegal immigration is thriving to not only accumulate illegal votes in November, but the $113 billion dollars extorted from our taxes for illegal alien welfare annually.
Neither this administration or its predecessors have secured the border fence. Both political parties have failed miserably to protect this country from the illegal alien occupation. Additionally the American voter must drive, track and use the severe pressure of their vote to verbally intimidate every Republican, Democrat and Liberal, informing them that they will unseat them. It is imperative that whatever the outcome of the Arizona court conflict, is to force passage of E-Verify. E-Verify mandated law would authenticate whether somebody can get employment or not? Other persons flagged will have the choice of clearing up their problem with the Social Security administration near them?
Voters must demand from GOP John Boehner, to stop blocking the bipartisan E-Verify “THE LEGAL WORKFORCE ACT” from being introduced in Congress by Texas Senator Lamar Smith. Taxpayers are continuously suffering at the hands of corrupt politicians who have sold us into financial slavery by allowing illegal immigration to persist almost unopposed in coming here. A second law to support The Legal Workforce Act H.R. 2885 is to amend the Birthright Citizenship Act of 2011 (H.R.140); the country cannot maintain in subsidizing billions of dollars being extracted from the 50 states? Not just the bad politicians should be thrown out of office, but state Governors, Mayors, Judges and all elected officials, and substitute them with Fresh Tea Party leaders who will insure everybody gets their fair share of the American Dream and enforce all laws attributed to the Constitution and the Rule of Law.
The consequences of pregnant females smuggled across our border, who fly in just to take advantage of the U.S. unfunded mandates laws for hospital delivery. Don’t know who to call in Washington, and then phone 202-224-3121? The switchboard will connect you with your Representative aid? Every prospective contender would be well advised to read the immigration sullen statistics advanced by “The Heritage Foundation”. According to American Federation of Immigration Reform (FAIR) there is a 2.5 Trillion dollars price tag to legitimize the 20 million plus Illegal’s who have settled here? All patriotic Americans should locate your local TEA PARTY chapter. The Tea Party is the people’s party and it welcomes every citizen and lawful resident who came to America legally. On the American Patrol website, covers the illegal alien issue, but a daily helping of the e-media from the National media, revealing everything that is against “the Rule of law’ and the sovereignty of this nation, constantly broken by Obama people.
Readers should type in any keyword that you desire, such as ID theft, Voter fraud, illegal alien welfare costs, Chain Migration, Comprehensive Immigration Reform, Amnesty, Sanctuary City, Birthright Citizenship, to name just a few things in Google or Yahoo and you will be physically sick of the cover-ups the Left and Democrats keep out of the public eye.
Bob K.| 4.24.12 @ 8:02PM
Sounds like a plan!
Maybe we could, for instance, get 1/2 of our illegal Bookmakers to self-incarcerate themselves and illegal gambling would , shazam!, be cut right in half!
It might work on the illegal Pot Growing Industry in California too! Maybe we could get 1/2 of them to turn themselves in for not paying Income Taxes on their ill gotten gains!
Mr. Antle,
If you are trying to convince me that Romney is almost as smart as Obama is you are doing a good job!
Mark MacInnis| 4.25.12 @ 8:54AM
The way things are going....more jobs in old Me-hico than in the US...just ask Audi! (They just announced a plan to build a new plant there, for those not yet in the know, choosing NOT to build in the U.S. due to high labor costs, uncertain health care cost environment (thanks, Obama-care!) and fear of unions.
MikeBee| 4.25.12 @ 10:24AM
Who knew that following Obama's policies would put an end to illegal immigration from Mexico, while following the pro-growth policies of Republicans would encourage illegal immigration? In fact, that is what is happening. Republican pro-growth policies create jobs, encouraging Mexicans to illegally immigrate to the U.S. for jobs which are available. But, Obama's anti-growth and anti-jobs agenda has caused many illegals to return to Mexico for jobs, as companies decide to put their plants in Mexico instead of the U.S.
We should applaud Obama for solving the illegal immigration problem. In fact, Democrats, who think (incorrectly) that all Mexican immigrants will vote for them, should find another candidate for president, and not allow Obama to run again. He has been harmful to their base!