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The Spectacle Blog
Mitt Romney’s campaign has hit back against the delegate math in Rick Santorum’s strategy memo. Most persuasive argument: Romney can clinch by winning only 47 percent of the remanining delegates, while Santorum and Newt Gingrich need 65 to 70 percent. With most of the remaining winner-take-all states favoring Romney, that’s a tall order.
Least persuasive argument: many of the delegate tallies already take into account Santorum’s advantage winning delegates from caucus systems at county and state conventions. Yes and no. Obviously, that’s true in some projections (e.g., Minnesota) but what about places like Colorado and Iowa? Once the main event is over, it’s possible that in some areas Santorum’s main competitor in delegate-hunting will be Ron Paul.
View all comments (13) | Leave a comment
More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III
http://spectator.org/blog/2012/03/12/romney-camp-hits-back-on-deleg
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Mender| 3.12.12 @ 5:12PM
Convincing. I don't think Santorum can win on delegates now unless something amazing comes out (meaning corruption/sex related, not just 'he's not a real conservative'). My feeling is that his best bet would be to discredit Romney, win the last few states, say that proves he'll be a better bet come the election (the other states were from 'before we knew the truth about Romney') and try to get people to lean on Romney to drop out. But it's a tall order and my worry is that he'll end up with this massive lost cause myth being erected around him that leaves the GOP base feeling cheated after the convention. If he'd won a lot of states just before the election that feeling will be even stronger, too.
Marco2| 3.12.12 @ 9:37PM
If Fr. Rick has something sex or corruption-related on Romney, he's got better oppo research than McCain or the Kennedys did. Or do you think he should just lie? The typical anti-Mormon schlub voter will believe anything, I suppose.
Clint| 3.12.12 @ 5:26PM
Romney Is A RINO-CINO Patrician Fop Frontman For The Ruling Elites.
Follow The Romney Campaign Money Trail. Romney Is Bought & Paid For.
Goldman Sachs $521,180
JPMorgan Chase & Co $356,400
Morgan Stanley $297,550
Credit Suisse Group $296,160
Citigroup Inc $280,050
Bank of America $245,900
Kirkland & Ellis $225,202
Barclays $217,150
HIG Capital $188,500
PricewaterhouseCoopers $185,550
Blackstone Group $178,050
Bain Capital $151,500
Wells Fargo $148,950
UBS AG $140,650
EMC Corp $128,300
Citadel Investment Group $123,625
Elliott Management $123,500
Bain & Co $112,800
Sullivan & Cromwell $106,650
The Villages $97,500
The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To a Brokered Convention.
Bill| 3.12.12 @ 10:33PM
You like Nobama, don't you.
Clint| 3.13.12 @ 5:59AM
Obama Is A Racist Jerk, Like You Billy Race Boy.
The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To A Brokered Convention.
Teemu| 3.12.12 @ 5:33PM
Romney and Santorum were basically tied in Iowa, why do you think Santorum is somehow pre-destined to get more delegates out of Iowa? It might be more of a competition between Romney and Paul.
I've heard much more stories of Romney district and state convention delegates getting elected from precincts where Santorum won the straw poll than otherwise around. Lots of Santorum voters were there to "rage against the machine" , but they really couldn't bother to become the precinct delegates, more passionate Paul supporters or more serious Romney supporters were more likely to become the district and state convention delegates.
Every Colorado district and the state convention is in Denver, it is going to take much more effort from the Santorum dominated areas to get there, Romney's areas were nicely compact 3 district cluster around Denver. Paul getting more delegates out of Colorado than Santorum, taking the delegates of the larger districts where doing the whole county, district, state convention process takes more effort and time.
Lexington Sally| 3.12.12 @ 6:25PM
I'm an unpledged Republican delegate from Kentucky. If it goes to a second ballot I'm voting favorite son, our honorable senator Mitch McConnell.
Windy City Commentary| 3.13.12 @ 5:59PM
Wow, that's pathetic. I'd rather have Romney.
Mike 3/505| 3.12.12 @ 7:30PM
While we are speaking of delegates...What was the final resolution for Florida's delegates? There was some question...not yet answered.
Bill| 3.12.12 @ 10:32PM
The Bay-state sexy is back! Romney-train rolls on.
Mender| 3.12.12 @ 10:44PM
I think you're thinking of Scott Brown.
Eric Dondero | 3.13.12 @ 11:32AM
Because no matter what James Antle has to find some way to work in 7% polling, Virgin Islands GOP Caucus near-Winner Ron Paul into the conversation.
Could be a story on green eggs and ham, or a story about what really killed the dinnasaurs, but Paulist Antle will still find a way to mention paleo-Paul.