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1. Ron Paul won the popular vote in his first primary or caucus — the Virgin Islands — but Mitt Romney still ended up walking away with most of the delegates. Dave Weigel explains.

2. That was pretty much the theme of the weekend. Rick Santorum won the Kansas Republican caucuses easily. But Romney did just well enough to keep the state from being winner-take-all for Santorum, nabbing seven delegates, and then pulling in delegates from Guam, the Virgin Islands, and the Northern Mariana Islands. Romney also prevailed in this weekend’s voting in the seemingly never-ending Wyoming caucuses. Romney got the most delegates this weekend, 39-33, extending his lead.

3. The math essentially favors Romney at this point, but because the counts are inexact — a lot of unbound delegates still out there, plus caucuses where the delegate allocation has a confusing relationship with the popular vote totals — it isn’t clear how much so. Tim Carney lays out the realistic best-case scenario for Romney, Sean Trende the worst case. Either way, Santorum and Newt Gingrich stand a much better chance of denying Romney a majority than overtaking him.

4. Gingrich stands a chance of winning Alabama and Mississippi on Tuesday. If he doesn’t? Initially, it seemed he would consider dropping out, but now he is insisting that he won’t. Obviously, how well he does and where he places will be important. But a Southern strategy can’t just consist of South Carolina and Georgia.

5. Rasmussen shows both Romney and Santorum winning national pluralities against President Barack Obama.

View all comments (32) |

RJ| 3.11.12 @ 12:46PM

I wish the GOP debate would focus on the damage inflicted by the growth of government and in particular the Obama administration.

Judge Napolitano said it very well a few years ago - Medicare, broke; Social Security, broke; Medicaid, broke; Amtrak broke; the Post Office, broke. Who in their right mind would put health care in the hands of the same people who have broken everything they have tried to manage?

Dai Alanye | 3.11.12 @ 1:11PM

Washing ton Post: "Romney, meanwhile, was the only candidate who failed to send a surrogate to Wichita. His campaign had not even organized for a volunteer to man the Romney table at the event."

Is Romney's famed "organization" beginning to fray? Is he having money problems? Probably not -- just stupidity.

Mender| 3.11.12 @ 1:50PM

Rumor has it he's running out of money too.

Drek| 3.11.12 @ 3:58PM

Well, when your campaign outspends opponents by margins of 6, 8 and over 10 to one, in key states, repeatedly, such as Florida and Ohio, ---------- it's going to make it difficult to spend money elsewhere.

Ward Bond| 3.11.12 @ 1:22PM

I don't think obama is going to get anybody to vote for him now that didn't vote for him the first time. Also, the Paul supporters I know are mostly Democrats who do not want obama back. Obama is not a sure bet to get reelected.He can run but he can't hide from gas prices or his marxism.

RJ| 3.11.12 @ 3:40PM

I agree. As long as conservatives and the GOP don't get discouraged by the negative press, which we know is coming, and stay focused on Obama's record, the Obama's will be vacationing on their own dime as of January 21, 2013.

Clint| 3.11.12 @ 7:03PM

"A Gallup Poll released on August 24 in which Republican and Republican-leaning Independents nationwide were asked to choose which candidate they supported for the 2012 GOP Presidential nomination showed:Ron Paul bests all other candidates (by a fairly healthy margin) among voters aged 18 to 29 years with 29% of the votes, comes in tied in second among voters aged 30 to 49 years with 15% of the vote, but only receives 7% and 4% among voters aged 50 to 64 years and >65 years, respectively."

The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To A Brokered Convention.

Occam's Tool| 3.11.12 @ 9:39PM

August 24th 2011 was a long time ago. Well before the asskickings which have descended upon the Paul campaign. Back when Clint was discussing winning outright. But Clint is a bridesmaid to the Father of Lies, as has been obvious for a long time.

Clint| 3.11.12 @ 11:10PM

Tool Job's The Israel firster Smear Bund RINO-CINO Flunkie Stooge, Who Said He'll Vote For The Ruling Elites' RINO-CINO Frontman, Mittens Romney.

We Are Being Set Up By The RINO-CINO Flunkie Stooges For The Ruling Elites' Frontman Mittens Romney.

These Are The RINO-CINO Flunkie Stooges Who Gave Us The Serial Traitor To Conservatism, John McCain Of McCain-Feingold, McCain-Kennedy,McCain-Lieberman,Gang Of 14, Opposing Bush Tax Cuts Of 2001 & 2003,TARP.

Now They Are Trying To Give Us RomneyCare,TARP, Cynical Flip-Flops On Abortion, Gays, Refuses to Sign Pro-Life Pledge, Illegal Immigrants, "Little Chain Saw Al" At Bain, Crony Capitalism Campaign Money Trail.....

The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To A Brokered Convention.

WL| 3.11.12 @ 11:31PM

Did you really post that Clint? Please say it isn't true...AUGUST???????????????????????

That's seven months ago, you ignorant nitwit!!!!

I love prodding you along...but this is just pathetic. Please tell me you are not that stupid...to actually think a poll from 7 months ago is anything worth ANYTHING????

What an Idiot.

Clint| 3.12.12 @ 6:04AM

I Got The Israel Firster Smear Bund Bibi Doggie, WL Trained To Follow Me Around.

Now, Go Fetch Bibi's Bone, WL.

The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To A Brokered Convention.

spike59| 3.12.12 @ 6:44AM

hahahahahaha Rontards; live by the caucus, die by the caucus...you LITERALLY 'can't win for losing'

Mender| 3.11.12 @ 1:46PM

I think it's pretty clear what could happen next.

1) Romney falters but keeps on winning most things
2) Liberal journalists keep talking about how well Santorum is doing even if all he does is outperform his polls
3) Romney does worse and worse, Santorum wins the last of the primaries but comes up short at the end of it
4) At the convention, the delegates nominate a candidate who has lots of delegates from early in the process but hasn't won anything recently and seems tired and discredited
5) Romney loses the election to Obama

Bottom line: Santorum has to win big from now on or be put out of his misery quickly. Thinking of him as a contender in any non-exceptional circumstance is a mistake.

Jack in Wi.| 3.11.12 @ 2:01PM

McCain got about 46% of the vote only with the help of Palin. Millions of his supporters have left the face of the earth and not been replaced. The Republicans are getting pathetic participation in their primaries. Look at the ccomments here. The people even here are disgusted with the choices. What sane young person or independent is going to vote for warmongering fools like the chicken hawk 3 stooges Rick, Mitt, Mitt and Newt? They have a zero program for change. Obama can lose the election, because the economy stinks. The Republicans can't win because they stand for nothing but more of the same, war and bankruptcy. I would like anyone to explain how Romney or Santorum would improve the country. At least in the case of Obama he has to respond to his base which is basically anti war. That is by far the most popular position in the country. He also hates Bibby Netanyahu, like any slave would hate his brutal master. That is 2 good points in his favor. Of course I will be voting 3rd party this time or staying home. After 12 elections I have given up on the Republicans. I see nothing but the continuation of the downward slide.

Occam's Tool| 3.11.12 @ 9:39PM

Obama is Netanyahu's slave? Uh-huh. Too much LSD mold on the cheese you eat, Jack.

Clint| 3.11.12 @ 11:11PM

Tool Job's The Israel firster Smear Bund RINO-CINO Flunkie Stooge, Who Said He'll Vote For The Ruling Elites' RINO-CINO Frontman, Mittens Romney.

We Are Being Set Up By The RINO-CINO Flunkie Stooges For The Ruling Elites' Frontman Mittens Romney.

These Are The RINO-CINO Flunkie Stooges Who Gave Us The Serial Traitor To Conservatism, John McCain Of McCain-Feingold, McCain-Kennedy,McCain-Lieberman,Gang Of 14, Opposing Bush Tax Cuts Of 2001 & 2003,TARP.

Now They Are Trying To Give Us RomneyCare,TARP, Cynical Flip-Flops On Abortion, Gays, Refuses to Sign Pro-Life Pledge, Illegal Immigrants, "Little Chain Saw Al" At Bain, Crony Capitalism Campaign Money Trail.....

The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To A Brokered Convention.

WL| 3.11.12 @ 11:40PM

Isn't there a website somewhere else that you and Jackass would feel more comfortable in or something???

Maybe Goebbels or Himmler or Hess or Lenz had some secret children that started a website that you let you guys slither all up in the Swastika sheets!!!

Bibi would whip your asses with one hand tied behind his back....

Do you still live with your mom Clint? Nothing wrong with that, but I am just curious because you really seem like the type that would...just sayin.

Clint| 3.12.12 @ 6:10AM

WL's A Typical Israel Firster Commando, Attempting To Get Others To Do His Fightin' For Him.

Why Don't You Try To Kick My Ass, Israel Firster Coward.

Hmmmmmm Keyboard Commando, WL ?

The Tea Party Rebellion Steps On Israel Firster Cowards, Like WL.

spike59| 3.12.12 @ 6:46AM

The Tea Party Rebellion tells DrRonPaul: "get back on the mother ship with your fellow loser, Dennis Kucinich, and go back to your home planet"

Jack in Wi.| 3.11.12 @ 11:43PM

Everytime Obama has to bend down and kiss the rear end of Netanyhu, Foxman, and the goons at AIPAC his hatred grows. That doesn't mean he will do anything about it. He has been the step and fetchit of the Israeli lobby his whole political career. Slaves find it hard to break free from their masters.

spike59| 3.12.12 @ 6:47AM

awwwwww...is the widdle won pauw wetawd having hims a widdle tantwum because hims won pauw is such a woser? awwww, woogums...so sowwy....

Bill| 3.11.12 @ 2:47PM

Gingrich will win AL & MS.........knocking off "Romneycare" Romney and "Pro-union" Santorum. Sexy back..................

Drek| 3.11.12 @ 4:01PM

Every single Republican needs to ask themselves a single and very simple question:

WHAT HAPPENS when Romney doesn't have a financial advantage over his opponent, ------------- such as would happen if he had to face obama in the Fall.

How would he fare when the money is a wash, when negative ads are effectively countered by his opponent's negative ads, and when the media is decisively against him and everything he says.

What happens then?

And what happens to the prospects of the Republican party?

What happens to our country?

ayrnieu| 3.11.12 @ 10:33PM

That's what every candidate faces. Romney's advantages are

1. that his campaign is competent, and

2. that his attack surface is minimal.

Gingrich and Santorum supporters whine about 'carpet bombing' - but they can't complain about muckraking, and they can't rebut false attacks, because all the attacks are true. Their attack surfaces are enormous.

Obama's attacks on Romney will be more of the same as you've seen, just louder, more 'creative', more poll-tested. Obama's attacks on Gingrich or Santorum would have you "carpet bombing!!" types soiling yourselves and fainting in the streets.

I'd most enjoy Obama's attacks on Paul, though. Just a 24-hour nation-wide klaxon of 'RAAAAAAAAAACIIIIIIIIST', with some self-defeating swipes as his foreign and economic policy.

Drek| 3.12.12 @ 11:27AM

And where is the upside to a Romney candidacy?

In a purely negative aspect, ------ you tell us there is no surface area vulnerabilities, {there are, and by this Summer, you'll know as much if he gets the nod}, ------------- but in as much as the radical obama has wrought genuine havoc upon our nation, -------- where has Romney ever demonstrated that he is equal to the task of rectifying and restoring America?

This is no time for a care taker presidency, which means this is no time for a Romney, or anyone like Romney, ---------------- and that includes Santorum too, for he too has never demonstrated any ability to be a genuine reformer.

Santorum in a much more limited fashion, is not unlike Romney, in that he is pretending to be something he is not, and has never been.

Bill Hussein O'Stalin| 3.11.12 @ 5:22PM

To clarify the Rasmussen Poll noted above: Santorum is 1+ over Obama. Romney 5+. In actuality Santorum is break even.

Clint| 3.11.12 @ 7:08PM

Romney Is A TARPSTER ROMNEYCARE RINO-CINO Ruling Elites' Frontman.

The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To A Brokered Convention.

WL| 3.11.12 @ 11:24PM

What would happen if Ron Paul and Romney were one a ticket together Clint?

I'm just curious. So take a break from all that name calling just for one post...and tell us whether you would support that ticket if Mitt selected one of the Pauls as his running mate?

Seriously...

Clint| 3.12.12 @ 6:16AM

Watch & Learn, Israel Firster Bibi Smear Bund Girl, WL.

The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To A Brokered Convention.

Nick| 3.11.12 @ 9:57PM

How many felons voted in Kansas for Santy?

WL| 3.11.12 @ 11:26PM

You are really grasping with that one Nick....
I know the story, and what you are playing on...
But really? Is that your 10 seconds of fame?

Judy Hopson | 3.12.12 @ 8:14AM

Slow and steady wins the race and the spoilers are spoiled. One would think with all of the Romney is a rich entitled candidate rhetoric, he would come off as the spoiled, "it's my way or the highway" candidate. However, I sense Gingrich and Santorum exhibit the spoiled atitude rather than Romney.

More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III

http://spectator.org/blog/2012/03/11/weekend-political-wrap-up

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