We are hearing a great deal at the moment about government
austerity, especially in Europe, as various states attempt to deal
with massive budget crises resulting from a combination of low
growth, bad demographics, and overly rich welfare programs.
European Central Bank president Mario Draghi
recently gave an interview to the Wall Street Journal
in which he made things quite clear:
WSJ: Austerity means different things, what’s good and what’s
bad austerity?
Draghi: In the European context tax rates are high and
government expenditure is focused on current expenditure. A “good”
consolidation is one where taxes are lower and the lower government
expenditure is on infrastructures and other investments.
WSJ: Bad austerity?
Draghi: The bad consolidation is actually the easier one to get,
because one could produce good numbers by raising taxes and cutting
capital expenditure, which is much easier to do than cutting
current expenditure. That’s the easy way in a sense, but it’s not a
good way. It depresses potential growth.
Draghi’s insight is one American policymakers need to
understand. If the government is spending a great deal of money
simply to put dollars in people’s pockets, pay salaries, etc., then
we are not getting nearly the good we could obtain with better
government spending AND we go bust trying to afford it. The
superior situation is one in which you can keep taxes low and
government spending is on items that last and have the potential to
spur growth into the future.
For example, consider the difference between a government paying
for things like the interstate highway system or the Tennessee
Valley Authority mechanisms of energy generation versus a
government that sends out a lot of entitlement checks. The first
government will see substantial returns over the long run. The
second one is mostly just poorer at the end of the year.
In America, we used to have a government of the first type, but
we increasingly have a government of the second type. I opposed the
president’s nearly $1 trillion stimulus package, but it would have
been a lot easier to swallow if it had been aimed at some truly
valuable investment such as reinforcing America’s physical
infrastructure (highways, electrical grid, etc.) rather than simply
trying to push out cash as quickly as possible.