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Nevada moved its Republican caucuses from January to tomorrow in order to avoid a conflict with New Hampshire that would have potentially pushed the primary calendar into December 2011. As a reward for such good behavior, the state’s caucuses have been completely marginalized by the Florida primary. Nevada will probably only generate major headlines in the unlikely event that Mitt Romney loses.

But the caucus will still bear watching. It will be Newt Gingrich’s first opportunity to avenge his Florida loss. It will be Rick Santorum’s first chance to eat into Gingrich’s support and present himself as the new conservative alternative to Romney. It will also be the first test of Ron Paul’s caucus strategy. Most local observers say that Romney and Paul have the best organizations working the caucus, but polls show Gingrich with more organic popularity than Paul. The Nevada polls can be unreliable, however: In the 2008 final results, Romney and Paul both received nearly double the vote percentage the pre-caucus polling average had predicted. Finally, it bears watching whether Romney can use Nevada to begin a winning streak that will make February a tough month for his opponetns.

View all comments (19) |

SpiralArchitect| 2.3.12 @ 4:30PM

The extent of hate mail spam agaisnt Newt these last few days (in Nevada) is to such a degree that I wondered if Quinnn may be writting copy for Mitt.

Clint| 2.3.12 @ 6:11PM

The Most Recent 2012NevadaCaucus.com Phone Poll:

Mitt Romney 34%
Ron Paul 24%
Undecided 19%
Newt Gingrich 14%
Rick Santorum 9%


The Tea Party Rebellion Is In Nevada.

Oldefarte| 2.5.12 @ 3:03PM

'.....Paul, who campaigned hard in Nevada and has staked his entire strategy on winning caucus states, may be bordering on irrelevancy as a serious contender after this shellacking. By raising expectations for a strong finish in Nevada — only to place a weak third — the Texas congressman undercut himself going into the next round of caucus states.The Texas congressman's ultimate goal — keeping his libertarian-leaning platform part of the national political conversation — could also be damaged as his losses pile up.....'

Garfield| 2.3.12 @ 7:16PM

It will only be news if Romney loses Nevada... It was a sure win for Romney in that state to begin with.

Matthew Quigley| 2.3.12 @ 7:19PM

Seeing as Paul is allied with Romney, there's some chicanery going on.

Link to come.

Matthew Quigley| 2.3.12 @ 8:14PM

Here is said link...

http://www.washingtonpost.com/.....story.html

Looks like there's a quid pro quo between RuPaul and Robama. How do the Paultards explain away THIS one?

ayrnieu| 2.4.12 @ 2:52AM

We don't mind. But, gee, do you think cooperation with the a guy that's obviously and deeply anti-establishment undermines your 'establishment' concerns with Romney (as opposed to the lifetime politician)? 'course you don't. Keep using scary terms (quid pro quo, chicanry) for perfectly reasonable circumstances; reality won't change to suit how you talk about it.

Clint| 2.3.12 @ 8:31PM

Looks Like You're An Israel Firster Crybaby. Squiggy.

" In advance of Saturday's Nevada caucus, tonight Ron Paul sits down with Piers Morgan at Planet Hollywood's Koi in Las Vegas. In an intense and revealing interview, the Republican from Texas addresses a wide-range of issues, including his reaction to Mitt Romney's recent comment about the poor.

The GOP candidate went on to say that he doesn't believe Romney really doesn't care about poor people, but actually, it's his views on finance that are the true issue: "I think the problem is he's a victim of his own economic theories, rather than him being cold and heartless."

The Tea Party Rebellion Is In Nevada.

Dai Alanye | 2.4.12 @ 10:33AM

What's this! Has "crybaby" replaced "chickenhawk?"

Not sure I approve.

Clint| 2.4.12 @ 3:21PM

Dai Job At A " Bibi First " Party

http://www.grimmemennesker.dk/.....c-head.jpg

Bill| 2.3.12 @ 9:07PM

Gingrich will crash Romney in NV.

9thID| 2.3.12 @ 10:21PM

At least Tehran Ron has the prostitution and gambling vote sewed up in NV. Remember their slogan "Pimping for Ron Paul!"...

ayrnieu| 2.4.12 @ 3:05AM

s'ppose that's true. Do you care? Are NV's casinos and brothels a big issue for you? Are they a bigger issue than infanticide nationwide? Than the economy?

Santorum supporters obviously get a pass on infanticide, but Gingrich supporters... come on. I know that you're Gingrich supporters, and therefore overcome with blind desperation, but infanticide's worth your cracking an eyelid.

Clint| 2.4.12 @ 8:21AM

.

" Dr. Ron Paul served in the United States Air Force as a flight surgeon for several years (1963-1965). While in the air force, Paul reached the rank of Captain. Directly after his service in the air force, Paul worked again as a flight surgeon for the United States Air National Guard (1965-1968).

" Paul served as a flight surgeon in the U.S. Air Force in the 1960s, spending time on the ground in countries like Ethiopia, Iran, Pakistan, South Korea, and Turkey. He also sits on the House Committee on Foreign Affairs."

Tell Us About The Military Record Your Chickenhawk For Bibi, Israel Firster Smear Bund, 9th IDiot

The Tea Party Is In Nevada.

Dai Alanye | 2.4.12 @ 10:41AM

RonPaul had to be drafted into the Air Force, and was immediately gifted with the rank of captain in order to outrank most nurses. His record of valor is at least equal to that of John Kerry but not quite up to that of fake combat hero Tom Harkin.

Clint| 2.4.12 @ 3:32PM

You Israel Firsters Make A Habit Of Badmouthing Veteran American Military Officers.

Give Us The Other Current Presidential Candidates' Service Records, Israel Firster Smear Bund Jerk.

Oh Yeah, We Forgot.

All Three Are Chickenhawks.

Pro-life| 2.4.12 @ 10:48AM

I sincerely hope that those of you who do not vote for Ron Paul are willing to send your own children to fight in foreign wars...

Paul Zummo | 2.4.12 @ 2:52PM

I hope those of you who vote for Ron Paul don't run out of Cheetos, because it's a bummer when you get the munchies and the cabinets are empty.

Clint| 2.4.12 @ 3:37PM

Newt, The Pillsbury DoughBoy Ate All The Cheetos.

More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III

http://spectator.org/blog/2012/02/03/dont-forget-nevada

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