Recall that in late December, Egyptian authorities raided the
offices of numerous nongovernmental organizations, including the
International Republican Institute and the National Democratic
Institute, which are funded mostly by US taxpayers through the
National Endowment for Democracy. At the time, I
wrote that allowing this to stand without tangible consequences
for military aid to Egypt would be asking for trouble, and when
Egyptian authorities had not fulfilled promises to return material
seized in the raids a week later, I (along with some more prominent
commentators) called
for aid to be cut.
That didn’t happen, and, having asked for trouble, the Obama
administration has indeed gotten trouble. Eric Trager of the
Washington Institute for Near East Policy notes
that the mistreatment of democracy-promotion groups has continued
and gotten worse, with American citizens’ targeted and banned from
traveling:
The Egyptian government’s recent travel ban on American
democracy workers is the latest — and most grievous — attack on
U.S.-funded NGOs operating in the country. Six employees are not
allowed to travel, including Sam LaHood, the son of U.S.
Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood. Four other non-U.S. citizens
are also affected. All ten are employed by either the International
Republican Institute (IRI) or the National Democratic Institute
(NDI)…
The travel ban represents an escalation in the Egyptian
military’s crackdown on civil society. Since assuming control last
February, the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces (SCAF) has used
state-run media to foster a hostile political environment for
pro-democracy NGOs, accusing them of catalyzing instability and
portraying as traitors the Egyptian citizens who work for them.
Trager adds that the government still hasn’t backed off from the
December raids; the organizations’ Egyptian employees remain under
investigation, and their offices remain closed. The administration
just keeps asking nicely, to no effect:
Indeed, the Obama administration’s current approach toward the
SCAF — dealing with bad behavior through communication rather than
consequences — is failing. For example, the president spoke with
Defense Minister Muhammad Hussein Tantawi on Friday night and,
according to the White House, “underscored that nongovernmental
organizations should be able to operate freely.” Yet on Saturday,
Sam LaHood, IRI’s director in Egypt, was prevented from leaving the
country.
It’s worth pausing to reflect on this: The President of the
United States asks the defense minister of a client state to do
something perfectly reasonable, and the next day the regime does
the exact opposite. How can we keep sending massive piles of
no-strings-attached cash to these people? Trager points out that
aid money has proven useful in the past for changing the Egyptian
military regime’s behavior:
Previous experience suggests that a stronger U.S. response, such
as threatening to withhold at least part of the $1.3 billion in
annual military aid to Egypt, could convince the SCAF to lift the
ban. This is precisely what the Bush administration did in 2002,
when it successfully pressured the Mubarak regime to release
Egyptian American democracy activist Saad Eddin Ibrahim from prison
by threatening to withhold $130 million. Given the SCAF’s recent
escalation against NGOs, it is time once again to enact this
strategy.
Trager concludes that that admininstration has been hesitant to
withhold aid because “policymakers view such aid as vital to
maintaining U.S. leverage, given the longstanding relationship
between the American and Egyptian militaries, not to mention the
recent election of an Islamist-dominated parliament that will be
hostile to American interests.” This is an all-too-easy trap for an
American administration to fall into: The military presents itself
as a check on the Islamists, while meanwhile following the Mubarak
playbook of suppressing the development of any non-Islamist
opposition — and plays Washington like fiddle. Letting them get
away with it is unacceptable. As Trager puts it, “maintaining
leverage requires demonstrating a willingness to use it.” It’s past
time to demonstrate such willingness.
Nancy in NC| 1.27.12 @ 9:36AM
I was beginning to wonder if anyone anywhere would notice this story. They're too busy commenting on that miserable debate of last night.
Egypt is for all practical purposes holding Americans hostage, and not a word on the MSM. I read about it on the WSJ.
How embarrasing it must be for this administration to see how much favor they curried in Egypt. THIS IS what democracy looks like...that is why we are supposed to be a republic with the rule of law.
Occam's Tool| 1.27.12 @ 11:38AM
We need to aid Egypt in the following way:
1)Stop financial aid
2) 1 megaton device on the Aswan dam.
Hobbes| 1.27.12 @ 9:43AM
We should cut foreign aid to every country. We are 16 trillion in debt and are slashing programs for the poor in the USA. I guess the poor abroad are more important. Trying to spread democracy abroad gets you this....fundamentalist whackos running things. Thank the NeoCons.
Dixie Pixie| 1.27.12 @ 9:43AM
Let me get this straight, Obama uses the “Pro-Democracy” NGO's to successfully overthrow the Egyptian government, mistakenly in favor of the Islamic Jehadists, and the author is surprised that there was a governmental crackdown on the NGO's?
Was the Washington Elite so stupid that they believed the Egyptian people would be overjoyed with American political machinations to produce a secular Liberal government?
Did Washington not understand that the Mubarak Government wipe-outed all but the Islamic Jehadists and the Military as political forces.
Did Washington not bother to count how many supporters it actuality had and more importantly who was the political opposition was and what were their numbers?
Was Obama and the Ruling Class that stupid?
Obama and Hillary have so messed up the Egyptian political situation that pulling the military aid string will gain very little.
JimH| 1.27.12 @ 10:06AM
Looks like another job for SEAL team 6. This one along with the American held in Iran.
Oldefarte| 1.27.12 @ 10:44AM
This is just the latest example of a too-long standing policy issue concerning our relationships with foreign countries. In no way, shape or form should this country's taxpayers be required to fork over their hard earned money to our government who thereafter spends same upon FOREIGN AID. It should be simply stopped immediately. Some of us are even of the partial agreement with Ron Paul's position regarding extracting our troops and closing military bases within all foreign countries also [but that is a whole nother issue]. Repeating, this foreign aid needs to be stopped now, period; and this nation's taxpayer-voters should demand same of their political leadership!!!!!!!!!!!
Oldefarte| 1.27.12 @ 11:13AM
Additionally, the following emphasizes the point of the Muslim Brotherhood's creeping involvement in this situation [as in all of these Arab Spring uprisings] which is doubling the reasons why we should not be involved militarily or otherwise there:
'.....Bolton Warns Iran Just Buying Time to Go Nuclear Friday, January 27, 2012 04:28 AM
By: Hiram Reisner.....Former U.N. Ambassador John Bolton says Iran’s President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad’s overture to begin discussions about Tehran’s foray into the world of nuclear power is just a stalling tactic, which he has used successfully in the past. Bolton also told Fox News’ Greta Van Susteren Thursday that Ahmadinejad knows the West is not going to compromise on Iran’s quest to become a Middle Eastern nuclear power.
“Well, the only thing surprising or interesting is that this didn’t happen several years ago. You know, the Iranians over time have used negotiations to great effect to buy time to advance their nuclear weapons program, to gain legitimacy, as you say, to play the West — and I think he’s prepared to do it again,” Bolton said. “So this is a — from their point of view — this is an excellent opportunity to get the Europeans engaged, slow the momentum of sanctions and buy more time.
“He has no intention of giving up the uranium enrichment activity, has no intention of giving up the nuclear weapons program. He’s happy to try and induce the Obama administration and the Europeans to offer him concessions, to loosen sanctions, to postpone the effective day date of sanctions, to reduce sanctions already in place,” he said. “But there isn’t going to be any compromise on this — and he knows that. That’s the failure of the West, this obsession with getting back to the negotiating table without any clear idea of what even our objectives are once we sit down.”
Van Susteren then asked Bolton about the possible implications of Egypt preventing Transportation Secretary Ray LaHood’s son, Sam, from leaving the country.
Sam LaHood works for one of three U.S.-based nonprofit groups in Cairo that were raided and shut down on Dec. 29 by Egyptian authorities, who accused the groups of using foreign funds to foment unrest.
“I think this is very serious — and not just because it’s a Cabinet secretary’s son, although we care about all of them,” Bolton said. “It’s the implicit threat that by not letting these people leave that they’re going to be subject to arrest for engaging in activities that were approved under the Mubarak government of democracy-building kinds of projects.
“So I think it’s not just the military I would look at here — I think I see the hand of the Muslim Brotherhood, as well,” he continued. “They’re trying to push out Western programs, U.S. in particular, that have helped democracy. And that’s not good — whether the military’s in back of this or the Muslim Brotherhood. It’s a very serious symbol, I think, of problems for the United States in the very near future.
“So I think this is a time for the administration — for now behind the scenes — but to go to the military, to go to the political leaders and say: You better stop this right now, or your entire foreign aid budget from the United States is going to be in jeopardy,” Bolton said. “If we can't draw the line at protecting our own citizens engaged in activities the government of Egypt knew about and approved about before, then we have little or no hope of exerting leverage over Egypt on things like the Camp David accords or the larger issue of peace and stability in the Middle East.”.....'
Bob K.| 1.27.12 @ 11:35AM
Too little, too late, Mr. Tabin!
You should have thought this out before you, along with all the other brainiacs writing for this publication, called for the removal of Mubarak in the pursuit of democracy for the Egyptians!
You people who have all the answers have all the answers to everything except: "If we do this, how will the laws of unintended consequences play out in this scenario?"
I know, I know! You think it is not needed. Your defense is your occupation. You are a Journalist, a Great Simplifier. All you have to do if things don't work out is defend your actions with a camouflage of verbal obfuscations and accusations.
Occam's Tool| 1.27.12 @ 11:40AM
I, of course, pointed out that removing Mubarak would go VERY BADLY.
Oldefarte| 1.27.12 @ 2:16PM
OT, my uneducated guess is that not only Egypt's governmental overthrow, but Libya's etc have been promoted and aided by our present government for a purposeful reason. These events are just too co-incidentally occurring now all at one time, and I think for a political reason. Possibly 11/4/08 has something to do with all of this!!!!!
Dixie Pixie| 1.27.12 @ 4:16PM
Greetings Occam's Tool.
I also remember pointing out the folly of Obama's Pee Wee League of amateur revolutionaries.
At the beginning of the “Arab Spring”, I wrote this was simply a rerun of the “Shah and Carter” Show.
So I was not surprised that the Muslim Brotherhood and Salafism groups captured over 70% in the recent elections and will be the primary writers of the next Egyptian Constitution.
Naturally Sharia Law will be the bases for the next constitution, thus enshrining Arab Supremacy and Bigotry, “Women Rights” to be a combination of a sex toy, breeding machine and household slave, and may even include a mandatory “Death to the Jews Clause”.
Of course the situation is going to get a lot worse.
The NYT promised “Jeffersonian Democrats” turned out to be Islamic Jehadists who only want to kill all the Jews and to subjugate the entire world to Islamic Rule.
But to Obama and his minions, nothing can go wrong as the most intelligent minds on the planet are controlling the crises.
Obama Foreign Policies are a “Great Success” according to the MSM.
Yes “Oldefarte”, Obama is behind the Sudan breakup, Egyptian uprising, Libyan Civil War, Syrian uprising, Hezbollah dominance of Lebanon, and the Tunisian Takeover.
Your revelation is another “Great Moment of DUH”
Clint| 1.27.12 @ 5:27PM
“Our military’s purpose is to defend our country, not to police the
Middle East.
“As the President prepares to send even more support to Egypt, we should
be reminded that it was our foreign aid that helped Mubarak retain power
to repress his people in the first place. Now we have to deal with the
consequences of those decisions, yet we keep repeating the same mistakes.
“I am not the only one who can see the absurdities of our foreign
policy. We give $3 billion to Israel and $12 billion to her enemies.
Most Americans know that makes no sense.
“We need to come to our senses, trade with our friends in the Middle
East (both Arab and Israeli), clean up our own economic mess so we set a
good example, and allow them to work out their own conflicts.”
Dai Alanye | 1.27.12 @ 1:51PM
Never mind the foreign aid, this is the time for an edict along the lines of "Perdicaris alive or Raisuli dead."
It was, in fact, a mere political statement by Roosevelt's Secretary of State, but being accompanied by a movement of the Navy and Marines it had some effect. But is Obama up to even that?
Martin Owens| 1.27.12 @ 2:09PM
Having been a former colonial possession in all but name, the Egyptians are red-raw sensitive to the impression that they are stooges for any foreign power. That's what got the Russians thrown out.
And how would we feel if Saudi or Gulf-financed NGOs were to start proselytizing Islam and promoting Sharia law for America?If they went all-out to get Obama re-elected?
Clint| 1.27.12 @ 5:39PM
“Our military’s purpose is to defend our country, not to police the
Middle East.
“As the President prepares to send even more support to Egypt, we should
be reminded that it was our foreign aid that helped Mubarak retain power
to repress his people in the first place. Now we have to deal with the
consequences of those decisions, yet we keep repeating the same mistakes.
“I am not the only one who can see the absurdities of our foreign
policy. We give $3 billion to Israel and $12 billion to her enemies.
Most Americans know that makes no sense.
“We need to come to our senses, trade with our friends in the Middle
East (both Arab and Israeli), clean up our own economic mess so we set a
good example, and allow them to work out their own conflicts.”
Clint| 1.27.12 @ 5:40PM
Test
Clint| 1.27.12 @ 7:24PM
Test
Clint| 1.27.12 @ 7:52PM
Test
Dai Alanye | 1.28.12 @ 2:09PM
Please use the term "chickenhawk" when testing.