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The Spectacle Blog
According to the exit polls, Newt Gingrich’s victory in South Carolina was as broad and deep as Mitt Romney’s in New Hampshire. Gingrich won Catholics and Protestants, veterans and non-veterans, married and un-married, Republican and independent, very conservative and somewhat conservative. At this writing, Fox News is still projecting that Gingrich could win every county in the state. He carried every age group except voters aged 18 to 29, who went for Ron Paul.
The big accomplishment here is that Gingrich succeeded in his attacks on both Romney’s conservatism and his electability. Gingrich trounced Romney 37 percent to 2 percent among voters who wanted a “true conservative.” But Gingrich won an eye-popping 51 percent of those who said their main goal was beating Barack Obama, who at 45 percent were a much bigger slice of the Republican electorate. Romney came in second among that group with 34 percent.
Gingrich was able to hold together a large plurality of conservative voting blocs even with Rick Santorum pulling nearly 18 percent of the vote. If he consolidates conservatives further, he could emerge as a threat to Romney in Florida, where the former House speaker led not too long ago.
One addendum: South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley wasn’t a factor in this race. Even though Haley endorsed Romney, Gingrich actually did a little better with those who approved of her performance as governor (42 percent) than those who disapproved (38 percent). This was helpful to Newt, because Haley had a 66 percent approval rating among those who turned out to vote.
View all comments (23) | Leave a comment
More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III
http://spectator.org/blog/2012/01/21/newts-win-by-the-numbers
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Gold BC| 1.21.12 @ 9:53PM
Nikki Haley, thinking another Sarah Palin perhaps this time victorious she so took a roll of the dice and came up snake eyes.
bill| 1.21.12 @ 10:00PM
Gov. Haley did a fabulous job in her 1 year in SC:
-Balanced the budget without raising taxes
-Signed the Tort Reform
-Fought for Obama's DOJ over Boeing and won
-Signed the "Toughest" immigration bill (identical to AZ)
-Signed the Voter ID law
-Led the charge litigation filled by DOJ over the immigration and Voter ID bills
-Join the fight to repeal ObamaCare
Endorsing Romney was a mistake, I wish Gov. Haley the best, and she already pledged to work with the GOP nominee to defeat Obama.
Gov. Haley commended Speaker Gingrich as a fellow Christian conservative, who will help repeal ObamaCare.
SC BJ| 1.21.12 @ 10:33PM
When Nikki made that endorsement she wasn't thinking of her economically depressed constituents instead she had bigger fish to fry like residing in the DC Naval Observatory home of the VP one year from now.
bill| 1.21.12 @ 10:49PM
Gov. Haley repeatedly denied to becoming a VP candidate, or even a cabinet post in Romney's administration. She made an "honest mistake." As a Christian, I am forgiving her. She'll do just fine.
WL| 1.21.12 @ 10:02PM
Newt laid out his battle lines in that victory speech....
Those battle lines are the ones that will beat Barack Obama...
Moderate candy talk and mealy mouth garbage from McCain and Mitt...LOSE.
I'm going to donate to Newt right now...
bill| 1.21.12 @ 10:19PM
WL, I'm joining you.
bill| 1.21.12 @ 10:02PM
THANK YOU SC. NEWT CONQUERED SC! OBAMA IS DOOMED!
bill| 1.21.12 @ 10:32PM
THANK YOU! SC. The land of liberty has spoken.
The fiery debate performance, especially the exchanges between Juan Williams over food-stamps, and John King over Newt's ex-wife, helped Newt convince the diverse SC voters to back him up over more well financed and established candidate like Mitt.
SC always picks the GOP nominee since 1980, they did it again in 2012. It's Newt Gingrich. He engineered the 1994 GOP revolt, he'll lead us the Tea Party Revolt in 2012. Please join us!
kingsmill| 1.21.12 @ 10:39PM
Pathetic to see Brit Hume echo the same sentiment expressed by primo McCain campaign loser RINO Steve Schmidt, on MSNBC. To wit, "Gingrich will cause a Repubican elites panic for fear that he will lose both Houses of Congress."
bill| 1.21.12 @ 10:54PM
Hello, FL, Sunshine State, the land of the Tea Party Movement! Please Vote Newt Gingrich. FL gave us conservative firebrands like Gov. Scott, AG Bandi, Sen. Rubio. FL will stand up to Obama and lead the movement for liberty and free-enterprise. Please join the Newt Gingrich team. GOP must carry FL, otherwise Obama will get 4 more years. that's unacceptable.
Bob K.| 1.21.12 @ 11:32PM
We need some specific information here Mr. Antle!
Newt's percentage numbers in isolation with religious groups and amorphous silly political groupings like "very conservative and somewhat conservative" mean nothing. Disraeli's "Lies, damned lies and statistics!" fits here and Newt will be comfortable with that and make the most of it.
But in this case you have forgotten one important specific statistic: And that is those voters in the 18 to 29 year old age group who you note led the voting for Ron Paul. They are in the age group containing those who do the real fighting in the Middle East. How did their percentage of votes break down with the other 3 candidates? This is a statistic that might mean something!
One wonders if the leaders of our foreign policy establishment in Washington might have gone to the well too often in their efforts to establish democracy in Countries who want none of it? Especially since this voting group is from a state in our South with a big military tradition and population.
Is this a trend? Will it continue as the primary voting continues throughout the South? Is the electorate starting to revolt against the costs of our Military adventures throughout the world?
What do you think, Mr. Antle?
W. James Antle III | 1.22.12 @ 1:17AM
Paul carried the 18-29 voters with 32 percent, followed by Newt Gingrich at 27 percent, Rick Santorum at 22 percent, and Mitt Romney at 16 percent. That's actually Paul's smallest margin of victory among younger voters yet. He beat his next closest opponent by 20 points with these voters in Iowa and New Hampshire.
I think we are seeing some movement against foreign adventurism, even within the GOP, and that is reflected in Paul's improved numbers from 2008. But it is still very much a minority position among Republicans, especially in the South.
Bob K.| 1.22.12 @ 9:48AM
The numbers are reaching critical mass in the age group that has to put it's lives on the line. You aren't old enough to remember when Vietnam changed from being a great adventure for the "Best and the Brightest" to being a nightmare for them and it began in this age group.
Greta| 1.22.12 @ 12:13AM
If the Republican establishment now try to kill Newt for Romney, they will lose me and I supose many others in the next election and maybe forever. We are tired of Dole and McRino. We want to decide. Also had the same thoughts about Brit Hume comment. If true and I suspect that it is, they are playing with fire and showing they have not understood what the tea party and the people are all about. Stay out and let the people actually decide who they want as their nominee.
If Romney goes negative, he is toast. As to Bain, Newt has backed off of that attack. Lets see the candidates focus on Obama and show how they will beat him which is what newt seems focused on from his speech.
Clint| 1.22.12 @ 6:53AM
" CBS Poll: Independents Prefer Ron Paul Vs Obama
In a head to head match up with incumbent President Barack Obama, the indie voter chooses Ron Paul, a CBS News poll suggested on Monday.
A total of 47% of independent voters said they would choose Ron Paul compared to 45% of independent voters choosing Mitt Romney against Obama, and 41% of independents saying they would choose Rick Santorum. If a Paul-Obama showdown were ever to take place, 47% of independent voters would vote for Paul, 81% republicans and 10% Democrats for a total of 45% of the vote. Obama would get just 40% of the independent vote in that contest, with 85% of the Democrats choosing Obama and 9% of Republicans choosing the President on election day in November. Obama would win the general election by a narrow one point margin if the election was held today between the two."
The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To A Brokered Convention.
chuck| 1.22.12 @ 8:59AM
But only 13% of SC voters preferred Paul!
BWAAAAAAAAHAAAAAAAHAAAAAAAA
Clint| 1.22.12 @ 9:23AM
Like Michele Bachmann said, " Newt-Romney Aren't True Conservatives."
We Are Being Set Up By The RINO-CINO Ruling Elite And Their Flunkie Stooges.
These Are The RINO-CINO'S , Who Gave Us The Serial Traitor To Conservatism, John McCain Of McCain-Feingold, McCain-Kennedy,McCain-Lieberman,Gang Of 14, Opposing Bush Tax Cuts Of 2001 & 2003,TARP.
Dr. Ron Paul Versus The Chickenhawk Coat Holder Toughie Talkin' RINO-CINO Girlies.
The Tea Party Rebellion Heads To A Brokered Convention.
PattyMor| 1.22.12 @ 9:19AM
Ok Newt has baggage. We all know it. Its out in the open. But who has more baggage? Why, its our current Prez. Obamster. He has long and deep associations with Ayres, Dohrn, Rashid Kahlidi, Rev. Wright, Rezko, Blago, and the other corruptocrats from Illinois.And he has lots of Islamists all over our gov'ment.
Who has the guts to fling the mud right back at Obummer. Its Newt Gringrich.
martin j smith| 1.22.12 @ 12:03PM
Newt acted like a winner on stage Romney acted like a loser. So there. OK for Romney sake what he has to do is stop pandering to the fearful in his party, take the bull by the horns and go right after Obama and his Socialist Policies. If he did that he would be a winner and at least competitive with Newt's performance.
OLDRAY| 1.22.12 @ 12:03PM
PattyMor is right on target..Newt can do it. The GOP "elites" who claim his baggage will block him in the general electorate must be blind. They said women wouldn't vote for Newt. BALONEY. The results showed otherwise. Newt's wide appeal was tremendous. There IS hope for yhe USA .
martin j smith| 1.22.12 @ 12:12PM
If Romney goes after Newt it will be another loser--Romney will fall again I have no doubt.
Austin Hoffman| 1.22.12 @ 5:49PM
heck ya!! GO NEWT!!! ....i just realized how big of a BOSS Newt is.... and i quote:
"Andrew Jackson had a pretty clear cut idea about America's enemies...KILL THEM"
LOL...come on, he sounds like the ex--cali governator/terminator .. I LOVE IT!
video:
http://www.peeje.com/newt-ging.....hecks-212/