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Primary Night in Manchester

Manchester, New Hampshire — The rooms where the candidates held their election-night parties tonight were a reminder of how quickly the polls have moved. Reporters were warned that Jon Huntsman’s campaign had booked the bar when their candidate was fifth in the polls; his late boomlet meant the place was packed like a can of sardines by the time the candidate spoke. The Newt Gingrich campaign, by contrast, booked the ballroom at the Radisson, presumably when their candidate was second in the polls last month; there was plenty of room there tonight.

Gingrich is, as I write, less than a hundred votes ahead of Santorum in the race for fourth place, with 80% of precincts reporting. I must admit I’m slightly surprised; I expected Santorum to be ahead. Maybe he will be by the time all the votes are in, but the fact that it’s this close demonstrates something a local journalist — who agreed with my assessment that Santorum was stronger on the stump — told me about New Hampshire: Santorum-style social conservatism just doesn’t play very well here.

It doesn’t appear that anyone is going to drop out before South Carolina, which is good news for Mitt Romney; with Ron Paul showing limited but consistent staying power and the rest of the candidates (other than Huntsman, whose declaration that “we go south from here” is likely to be true in more ways than one) dividing the more conventional anti-establishment conservative vote, it’s hard to see how Romney doesn’t make it to the nomination from here.

View all comments (4) |

Clint| 1.10.12 @ 11:11PM

We Are Being Set Up By The RINO-CINO Flunkie Stooges For The Ruling Elites' Frontman Mittens Romney.

These Are The RINO-CINO Flunkie Stooges Who Gave Us The Serial Traitor To Conservatism, John McCain Of McCain-Feingold, McCain-Kennedy,McCain-Lieberman,Gang Of 14, Opposing Bush Tax Cuts Of 2001 & 2003,TARP.

Now They Are Trying To Give Us RomneyCare,TARP, Cynical Flip-Flops On Abortion, Gays, Refuses to Sign Pro-Life Pledge, Illegal Immigrants, "Little Chain Saw Al" At Bain, Crony Capitalism Campaign Money Trail.....

Romney Had The Third Lowest Job Growth As Governor Of Massachusetts.

Romney Is A Job Gravedigger.

The Tea Party Rebellion Is On The East Coast.

Jack in Wi.| 1.10.12 @ 11:53PM

Dream on John: Ron Paul is going right to the convention. It has always been a fight between Ron and Mitt for the soul of the party. All the rest are weeds choking up the garden

hook| 1.11.12 @ 6:59AM

if he goes to convention, it will be symbolic because lots of states do not have isolationist strain that the northeast will. i imagine he will look way worse in s.c

The guy is also so unappealing it is incredible and as people other than political junkies start paying attention, he will fade

hook| 1.11.12 @ 7:02AM

Also keep in mind that if Romney wanted to be a Repub in mass, he had to make compromises. His business knowledge makes it kind of impossible that he would not be fiscally conservative. Obama has no understanding of the practical aspects of the economy at all. Romney will. And do you want Obama back. Paul has zero chance to win anyway.

More Blog Posts by John Tabin

http://spectator.org/blog/2012/01/10/primary-night-in-manchester

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