James Pethokoukis
reports that Jon Huntsman has proposed a solution to the
problem of banks that are too big to fail. Huntsman's six-point
list:
1. Set a hard cap on bank size based on assets as a percentage
of GDP. (This cap would be on total bank size, not using any of the
illusory "risk-weights" currently central to thinking about bank
accounting. The lowest risk assets for banks in Europe, supposedly,
are sovereign debt-yet this very same debt is now at the heart of
the current crisis.
2. We should have a similar cap on leverage-total borrowing-by
any individual bank, relative to GDP.
3. Explore reforms now being considered by the U.K. to make the
unwinding of its biggest banks less risky for the broader
economy.
4. Impose a fee on banks whose size exceeds a certain percentage
of GDP to cover the cost they would impose on taxpayers in a
bailout, thus eliminating the implicit subsidy of their
too-big-to-fail status. The fee would incentivize the major banks
to slim themselves down; failure to do so would result in
increasing the fee until the banks are systemically safe. Any fees
collected would be used to reduce taxes for the broader
non-financial corporate sector.
5. In addition, focus on establishing an FDIC insurance premium
that better reflects the riskiness of banks' portfolios. This would
provide an incentive for banks to scale down, allowing the
financial system to absorb them organically in the event of a
collapse.
6. Strengthen capital requirements, moving far beyond what is
envisaged in the current Basel Accord. The Accord is a mixture of
regulatory oversight and political compromise. As a result, the
U.S. has allowed its banking policy to be determined by the "least
common denominator" among European and Asian countries, many with a
long history of not being prudent.
Although Huntsman is thought of as a no-hoper, he (and other GOP
candidates) can influence the primary and the general election by
pressing important issues, on the campaign trail and in the
debates. Too-big-to-fail banks are a problem that, for various
reasons, Republican candidates haven't addressed, and it would be
good if the frontrunners were compelled to take a stand on banking
reform.
As for Huntsman's specific plan, it includes some attractive
features, although though it's questionable whether the central
element -- capping banks' absolute size -- would be remotely
politically feasible. It's good that he has specified that the
"size" fee would be used to reduce taxes across the board,
eliminating the confusion that often arises with such "sin taxes"
regarding whether they are intended to discourage certain behaviors
or raise revenues.
And although Huntsman deserves credit for proposing an
alternative to Dodd-Frank, which will not solve the problem of too
big to fail, he should also outline a replacement for the mechanism
for safely unwinding failed banks contained in Dodd-Frank.
Inevitably some banks will become too big to fail, or at least big
enough to leave the market uncertain as to whether the government
will allow them to fail. The government should have a clear and
understandable process already in place for resolving such firms in
a moment of crisis, so that the uncertainty is reduced. The process
put in place by Dodd-Frank is flawed, but it can't be simply
repealed and not replaced.
Huntsman is doing Republicans a favor by criticizing the
public's implicit subsidization of large banks -- an issue that has
both technocratic and populist appeal. Hopefully his plan will be
taken as a challenge by the other candidates.
Bankruptcy is a solution from Renaissance times, the beginning
of the modern era. As a Neanderthal-conservative, I prefer it to
more modern technocratic solutions.
Avinn| 11.23.11 @ 4:50PM
Good Points, I agree 100 percent!
PCC| 11.23.11 @ 8:23PM
I like it. Let's cap the size of U.S. banks so they can't compete in the global marketplace and then blame the Chinese for our own stupidity.
Dai Alanye| 11.24.11 @ 6:19PM
Bankruptcy is a solution from Renaissance times, the beginning of the modern era. As a Neanderthal-conservative, I prefer it to more modern technocratic solutions.