The supercommittee’s failure is, at first glance,
yet another reason to despair of there ever being enough
fiscally conservative members of Congress to limit federal spending
to sustainable levels.
Yet the idea that a bipartisan committee would find compromise
so close to a momentous election was questionable from the start.
One way or another, the country and the legislature will have more
clarity
about fiscal issues in early 2013. In all likelihood the new
Congress won’t have a mandate to fix the overspending problem, but
at least it won’t face the pressures of a looming presidential
election.
Furthermore, there are reasons to think that it will be easier,
procedurally, to get a deal through Congress in 2013. Former
senator Phil Gramm
explained in the Wall Street Journal that the
Budget Control Act that created the supercommittee also “revived”
the 1985 Gramm-Rudman Act, “bringing back to life provisions
enabling the president and Congress to propose alternatives after
the sequester is ordered.” That means that a Republican president
could work with Congress to revise the automatic cuts mandated by
the Budget Control Act into whatever cuts they desired. Doing so
would require only a 51-vote majority in the Senate, instead of the
usual 60 required to overcome a filibuster. So the supercommittee’s
failure could enable a Republican president, aided by a Republican
House and Senate (or even a divided Senate), to address entitlement
spending without many of the normal procedural dead
ends.
Obviously, that’s a rosy scenario. But it’s probably less rosy
than the scenario in which the supercommittee cut trillions in
spending without raising any taxes.