Total student loan debt
continues to skyrocket even as other kinds of consumer debt are
slowly coming down in the wake of the financial crisis. It
continues to get more expensive to go to college, students are
leaving with a lot more debt, and they’re graduating with degrees
less likely to see a payoff. Oh, and the federal government owns
85% of all student loan debt.
Just like housing, many student loans were made with
little or no research into whether borrowers were fit. Federal
Stafford loans are basically automatic for college students, and
government backing for other types of loans gave other student
lenders little reason to be picky… Defaults on federal student
loans jumped from 7 percent to 8.8 percent in the most recent
fiscal year. That measures just recent borrowers who were already
behind within two years of their first payments coming
due.
One of the things that has seemed to unite a lot of the 99%ers
is the complaint that a college degree isn’t a ticket to universal
success any more. And they’re right: it’s not! It used to be
thought that just any college degree could get you a
good-paying job in your field of choice. That’s turning out not to
be true. The degrees
that pay are called STEM degrees: science, technology,
engineering and math. Sending more kids to college to get visual
arts degrees does nothing positive for the economy and is a poor
individual investment decision.
Alex Tabarrok last week noted a shocking statistic:
more people graduated with computer science degrees in 1985 than
did in 2009. There are fewer engineers and about the same
number of statisticians. But more and more kids are going to
college in droves. What gives?
They’re majoring in things like performing arts, communications,
psychology… lots of humanities and soft sciences. And the federal
government takeover of student loans - passed in the Obamacare
reconciliation bill - puts the federal government on the hook
for all these bad investments in humanities degrees.
There won’t be a student loan bubble like there was a housing
bubble. The economy won’t completely collapse when it turns out
that many of these degrees aren’t worth the debt. But the current
state of affairs, in which we think that everyone should go to
college no matter what their choice of discipline, is
unsustainable. Somehow, I doubt the regulators are going to catch
this one either.