In the last three presidential elections, West Virginia has
voted for the Republican candidate. However, Democrats in still
have a nearly 2:1 registration advantage (630,000 vs. 347,000).
Last night, voters proved that even though Senator Robert Byrd is
dead, “wild and wonderful” West
Virginia’s love of local Democrats is still alive:
Democrat Earl Ray Tomblin edged a Republican newcomer in West
Virginia’s special election for governor, suggesting the state’s
recent economic gains mattered more to voters here than an
unpopular sitting president of the same party - barely. But the
barrage of attack ads targeting Tomblin, the acting governor,
likely tightened his race with businessman Bill Maloney in the
final weeks.
Maloney and his GOP backers sought to make it a Republican upset
by invoking the unpopular President Barack Obama. But the Mountain
State’s improving financial health helped Tomblin while the
negativity in the GOP attack ads turned off some voters. Tomblin
also ran attack ads during the campaign.
Tomblin won with 49 percent to Maloney’s 47 percent. Inside
Republican sources confirm the outcome looked positive for
Republicans during most of last night, they were preparing to spin
their victory as a rejection of Obama’s policies in the state which
the president’s approval ratings are 5th lowest in the nation,
according to Gallup. The loss came as a surprise.
On a positive note, in a state which routinely elects Democrats
on state-wide level, it is the closest election for Republicans in
recent memory. But the election was unusual, as it was a
special election called to fill the position left open by
now-Senator Joe Manchin and turn-out was approximately 22
percent.
Tomblin superficially distanced himself completely
from President Obama, especially on the economy and the
environment, by using the language of conservatism. His campaign
frequently made reference to how the state unemployment rate (8.1
percent) is lower than the national average, while endorsing a
number of business and consumer tax cuts which the state
is implementing this year.
Tomblin, who represented a southern district full of coal since
1974, also ran on a staunchly pro-coal platform and has been
involved in a lawsuit against
the Environmental Protection Agency for their handling of
permits. Tomblin, who was endorsed by West Virginia’s Coal
Association, had a majority of his donations tied to the coal
industry.
Polling was close throughout the race, with the final poll from
Public Policy Polling putting Tomblin at 47 percent and
Maloney at 46 percent.
Quartermaster| 10.5.11 @ 8:52PM
This outcome is surprising only to someone not familiar with WV electoral politics. While WV has been trending more conservative over the last 20 years, it is still a state that is not business friendly (contra Manchin's propaganda) and has ended up stuck with extractive industries that can't be moved out of state. WV is going to remain in the Dems back pocket locally for many years to come.
yisong| 10.25.11 @ 2:10AM
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