I can’t help thinking that there might be an easy way for Mitt
Romney to alleviate, if not entirely solve, his
health care problem.
Rep. Paul Ryan has introduced a
health care reform package to replace Obamacare in the
case that a Republican wins in 2012. Ryan’s plan is a variation on
a free-market model that’s been floating around policy circles for
over a decade; it looks a lot like John McCain’s 2008 campaign
proposal. The idea is to replace the tax preference for
employer-provided health insurance with a universal refundable tax
credit for private health insurance. There are many possible
criticisms of such a plan, but that it resembles Obamacare too
closely would not be one of them.
When Ryan came up with the “Roadmap” reform for Medicare and the
budget, it didn’t go very far at first. Eventually, however, it
became expected that conservatives would support it, and ultimately
congressional Republicans united behind it. Romney himself said
that
he would sign a bill implementing the Ryan plan if he were
president, although he hedged by saying he would come up with his
own plan.
So why doesn’t Romney simply endorse Ryan’s replacement for
Obama’s health care law?
It would certainly answer a lot of questions about Romney’s
attitude toward Obamacare. And instead of being associated with a
relatively liberal health care model, he would get a head start on
what will likely be one of the next big conservative policy
ideas.
There would be nothing inconsistent about Romney supporting
Ryan’s approach while still defending his own law in Massachusetts:
as he’s said a thousand times, his reform was a state solution for
a state problem, and not necessarily a model for what he would do
on the national level. There’s nothing in Ryancare that a supporter
of Romney necessarily would find objectionable. And it’s
a fairly mainstream Republican approach, as the McCain campaign
showed, so Romney wouldn’t be taking too much of a risk.
Again, Romney wouldn’t eliminate all his problems on the issue
of health care by embracing Ryan’s plan. For one thing, in the
general election, Obama would still be able to point out the
similarities between Romneycare and his own law, blunting
Republican criticisms of Obamacare. But it could only help reassure
primary voters suspicious of Romney’s health care
message.