John Taylor, Stanford economist and namesake of the ‘Taylor
Rule,’
takes on Mark Zandi’s widely-reported prediction
that President Obama’s jobs bill will create 1.9 million
jobs:
However, the terribly weak economic recovery has forced an
important change in the way that these predictions are put
forward by modelers like Zandi. They have to admit that even their
exaggerated estimated impacts of the temporary stimulus packages
are, yes, temporary. Macroeconomic Advisers reports the same thing:
“the GDP and employment effects are expected to be temporary” and
more specifically that “these proposals will pull forward increases
in GDP and employment, not permanently raise their
level.”
In other words, even if, on balance, jobs are created by the
package (which is doubtful), they will be destroyed as soon
as the temporary package is over, according to Zandi.
Thus even the promoters of such temporary packages agree
that they will not jump-start the recovery, which is what
is needed to really reduce unemployment. [Emphasis
added].
Probably that recognition is why Obama has studiously avoided
referring to the jobs bill as a stimulus. The word
stimulus and its implied metaphor are
dead. ‘Propping up’ is a more appropriate phrase than
‘jump-starting,’ for Obama’s purposes.
TruthSpeaker| 9.26.11 @ 7:38PM
That is because it found its way into Soros' accounts.
PattyMor| 9.27.11 @ 7:18AM
Well they do provide stimulus to Democrat voters:
college profs for useless studies, social service industries, teachers, and rent seeking corportions.
yisong| 10.26.11 @ 3:55AM
precision grade high product material than the general precision grade product material properties more favorable. http://www.1stbearing.com