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The Spectacle Blog
Republican Bob Turner has defeated Democrat David Weprin in New York’s 9th Congressional district, the seat vacated by Anthony Weiner. In a district composed of parts of Brooklyn and Queens, a Republican victory is a remarkable result that we haven’t seen in decades.
Public Policy Polling, a Democratic firm, predicted this outcome in their final poll on the race. From their analysis:
If Turner wins on Tuesday it will be largely due to the incredible unpopularity of Barack Obama dragging his party down in the district. Obama won 55% there in 2008 but now has a staggeringly bad 31% approval rating, with 56% of voters disapproving of him. It’s a given that Republicans don’t like him but more shocking are his 16% approval rating with independents and the fact that he’s below 50% even with Democrats at 46% approving and 38% disapproving.
PPP’s sample found an electorate that is 36% Jewish, and many of those are Orthodox and/or Russian Jews, both communities that have been trending Republican. (Weprin is Jewish, Turner is not.) The crosstabs that PPP tweeted as the poll was released late Sunday night reveal that President Obama’s needlessly confrontational attitude toward Israel played a big role here:
37% in NY-9 say Israel ‘very important’ to their votes. They support Turner over Weprin 71-22.
22% of Jewish voters in NY-9 approve of Obama’s handling of Israel. 68% disapprove
Turner is actually winning the Jewish vote 56-39. Obama’s overall approval on Israel is 30/54
37% of voters who say Israel is ‘very important’ Turner up 71-22. With the other 63% Weprin leads 52-36
The Emergency Committtee for Israel and the Republican Jewish Coalition put a lot of effort into making this race a referendum on Obama’s policies toward Israel, and they deserve a lot of credit (though not as much credit as Anthony Weiner). It’s important not to over-read this; as I said, we’re talking about a subset of the Jewish community that has been trending Republican anyway. On the other hand, for every pro-Israel American Jew, there are dozens more pro-Israel American gentiles.
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Richard Gould| 9.14.11 @ 12:38AM
A fitting and welcome rebuke for Chuck Schumer, Anthony Weiner and, most importantly, Barack Obama for their 'out of the mainstream' policies.
RNG
Occam's Tool| 9.14.11 @ 2:03AM
It's about time Jews voted their self interest. Screw the Dems and obama.
Con Chef (NB) | 9.14.11 @ 9:21AM
How long have you & I kvetched about that? And even though the seat will be eliminated, its STILL a great sign. Now check out this article from the WaPo about the victory. Wait til you get a load of what Debbie "I Failed My Wassermann"-Schultz had to say about it. Guess she doesn't like those Orthodox Jews too much. They must be rubes or something...
That chick is INSIPID!
http://www.washingtonpost.com/.....story.html
Al Adab| 9.14.11 @ 11:18AM
Two AM Doctor? But I will grant you your point. Let us hope ALL American voters recognize their self-interest and vote accordingly. That does not mean who will fill my wallet, but rather who will better defend my Liberty.
Hook| 9.14.11 @ 5:51AM
I have always been a little surprised that Jews would vote for someone who sat in an anti-Semitic church for 22 years. One story that is getting little play is that Obama's idiotic policies in the Mideast from Iran to Libya to Egypt have made the situation worse.
Jews never vote their interest.
beebop| 9.14.11 @ 6:39AM
One group did yesterday.
More to follow.
Con Chef (NB) | 9.14.11 @ 9:22AM
I ALWAYS have, Brother. I learned well from my Dad.
mzk1| 9.14.11 @ 8:11AM
Well, today I am proud of my co-religionists. This appears to be based on Israel, and also as a vote against homosexual marriage. This hopefully makes up a bit for speaker Silver's (also Orthodox) acceptence of said "marriage", apparently to get the best deal he could to protect religious institutions.
And Whatsername-Schultz blamed the Orthodox! Blame accepted! Sweet!
(Is that Kew Gardens Hills / Flushing. BTW?)
Skippy| 9.14.11 @ 1:04PM
Yes.
Kew Gardens, Forest Hills, Rego Park and most of Brooklyn.
My old neighborhood!
martin j smith| 9.14.11 @ 8:14AM
The Socialists will panic even more after these elections and already the Obama regime is reviving the snitch web site to rat on people whose political views differ from theirs. This will be one element among many to try to intimidate voters. And, also this paranoid view will encourage voter fraud or attempts of.
One more thing,consider every troll a possible snitch for Obama.
mzk1| 9.14.11 @ 8:17AM
Please note that the Democratic/Republican ratio is meaningless. I lived there; I know - people always register Democrat so as not to be disenfranchised. Then they vote the issues. Reagan Democrats.
Mark Jeffery Koch| 9.14.11 @ 10:07AM
As a Jewish supporter of Obama my biggest nightmare is a ticket of Romney/Rubio. Every one of my Jewish friends that voted for Obama told me they would eagerly vote for Mitt Romney and Mark Rubio. Having a young, smart, telegenic Cuban American as the Vice Presidential candidate would give the Republican Party the Hispanic vote and the 78% of the Jewish vote Obama received in 2008 would at best be 50% in 2012, and a Romney/Rubio ticket would give the Republicans Florida, Pennsylvania, and Ohio and a resounding victory.
If the Republicans instead nominate a Bachmann, Perry, Santorum, Palin, or Paul then Obama will win, but if they somehow can nominate a moderate like Romney the Independent, Jewish, and Hispanic vote (with Rubio as V.P.) will likely win them back the White House and would leave Obama with the union and Black votes as his only sure thing.
If the Republicans have more debates like the one on Monday where the American people watch and hear the crowds screaming YES! when a question is asked if a patient without medical insurance should be allowed to die then Obama will win re-election handily. This election is the Republicans to lose. Nominate someone perceived to be a cold hearted extremist and you will lose, nominate a moderate with a Hispanic running mate and what happened in New York last night will be repeated all around the country.
Joe R| 9.14.11 @ 10:44AM
I bet you advised the Republicans to nominate John McCain in 2008. He will be a sure winner over either Obama or Hillary, you said then, because he's a moderate not one of those extreme conservatives. Well, the Republicans took your advice and nominated John McCain. Obama won the election handily. So no thanks to your beknighted suggestion.
martin j smith| 9.14.11 @ 10:28AM
Mark Jeffrey Koch: Who will be the nominee will not be determined by the Washington Elite but the voters. This is a novel concept don't you know. Now if you want to vote Obama--go right a head, but do not come to me crying if he takes everything you have. That is if he wins.
The reason for debates is to help the American voter see candidates do their stuff and means how they operate under pressure. Its really a good thing up to a point as I have said.
martin j smith| 9.14.11 @ 10:50AM
I have heard that there was a pro-Israel group that had adds that supported the Republican ticket. I had not realized that Obama's Israel policy was a big deal ( I thought Maybe the Weinee and the economic policies were ) till I heard an add that calimed to be of Orthodox Jewish background claiming to have word of the Torah essentially saying a Jew should not vote on foreign affairs and that THIS causes anti-semitism . It sounded like a LEFT SPONSORED SOROS GROUP TO ME.
But another interesting thing is that in Commentary site there is an article stating that NO DEMOCRAT Congressional members signed a letter protesting the UN note on Palestinian Statehood. There were all Republicans ( though to be honest not that many about ten ? )
mzk1| 9.15.11 @ 8:03AM
My old neighborhood in Flatbush, too!
I'm proud of them, although in fact the Orthodox vote was split. The Democrat is Orthodox, so one the one hand he's assumed pro-Israel, on the other one takes his vote for homosexual marriage more presonally. Personally, I have a rule never to vote for anyone claiming to be Orthodox if they are pro-abortion. (Would that the Catholics had one!)
Anyway, today I am proud of my co-religionists. (One magazine, HaModia, really pushed the Republican.)
mzk1| 9.15.11 @ 8:10AM
Martin's post shows how quick lies spread. I heard that part and the crowd did NOT cheer that part. A few people, perhaps plants or Randians, did. What the crowd cheered was keeping government out of it. Notice how the anchor confused "government" and "society".
Paul's answer, which I only heard a bit of, seemed wonderful. Maybe we could put him in charge of the Fed! :-) I only wish he was mainly concerned with economics and not license and isolationism. As it stands, one of his foreign policy asnwers clinched it for me. If he is nominated, I'm voting for Obama, and I will vote for a lamppost over Obama.
mzk1| 9.15.11 @ 8:12AM
Let's report Martin to the snitch line! (BTW, it appears to be a fundraising ploy. Have you all contacted it yet? I gave my e-mail as president@whitehouse.gov, and reported that many acts of free speech were being committed.)