Another ringing endorsement for Gretchen Morgenson and Joshua
Rosner's Reckless Endangerment, this time
from David Brooks:
For that reason, the Fannie Mae scandal is the most important
political scandal since Watergate. It helped sink the American
economy. It has cost taxpayers about $153 billion, so far. It
indicts patterns of behavior that are considered normal and
respectable in Washington.
...
Most of the people were simply doing what reputable figures do
in service to a supposedly good cause. Johnson roped in some of the
most respected establishment names: Bill Daley, Tom Donilan, Joseph
Stiglitz, Dianne Feinstein, Kit Bond, Franklin Raines, Larry
Summers, Robert Zoellick, Ken Starr and so on.
Of course, it all came undone. Underneath, Fannie was a cancer
that helped spread risky behavior and low standards across the
housing industry. We all know what happened next.
The scandal has sent the message that the leadership class is
fundamentally self-dealing. Leaders on the center-right and
center-left are always trying to create public-private partnerships
to spark socially productive activity. But the biggest
public-private partnership to date led to shameless self-enrichment
and disastrous results.
Brooks reads Reckless Endangerment as an indictment of
the establishment (and especially of former Fannie CEO and
Democratic Party insider James Johnson and Rep. Barney Frank, who
are the only two people who Brooks writes are depicted as
"egregiously immoral" in the book). Brooks is not usually one for
stinging criticisms of D.C. insiders.
The collapse of the real estate markets is something that will
linger for a decade or more. Litterally trillions were wiped out.
Currently the Federal Reserve Bank holds half of trillion dollars
in TARP assets it purchased. And these assetts are losing value
every month. There is no way anyone will buy these properties off
the Fed.
To make matters worse, the first of 76 million Baby Boomers are
retiring. That's almost 25% of the population. Even without the
mortgage collapse of 2008, the US would be seeing a problem with
excess real estate inventories. Outside of demolishing these
properties there isn't much that can be done. The 2010 Census
indicated that our population grew at the slowest pace since the
Great Depression. And the fastest growing demographic doesn't have
the income to buy into the housing and real estate markets. Some
places will continue to decay (ie Detroit), while others will see
substantial growth (namely Texas). But all in all, when the dust
does settle, we will see that our housing inventories are way too
large. Great for buyers, disaster for sellers. In May, national
housing prices slid below the 2000 levels. Many experts say that 20
years of housing equities will have to be lost before a recovery
begins. Not far from where I live, a new house that sold for
$310,000 in 2006 is now on the market for $165,000. That's got to
hurt. Some predict that the 30 year fixed mortgage will go by the
wayside, as most banks and lenders get out of real estate
entirely.
Teflon93| 6.17.11 @ 11:57AM
What part of $138 billion do Americans not understand? The
Fannie/Freddie bailouts---which are ongoing mind you---will dwarf
every other bailout in this crisis.
And Fannie and Freddie are trying to reinflate the housing
bubble at this very moment.
timb| 6.17.11 @ 4:51PM
The last sentence says everything you need to know about the
entire comment. "An inflating housing bubble..." when housing
prices have fallen for 10 months in a row. nice analysis
Rick V.| 6.17.11 @ 12:14PM
Barney Frank, "egregiously immoral"? Go figure.
Bob Grant| 6.17.11 @ 12:44PM
I'm no second coming of Milton Friedman but with long term,
stable (i.e. manufacturing) jobs exiting the country primarily due
to Big Labor wage inflation, coupled with NGO's handing out
mortgages like crack, what were we to expect?
Whomever the republican candidate will be, he/she needs to
educate the public on how we really got into this mess and leave no
culprit unmentioned (got that GWB?).
KennesawJack| 6.17.11 @ 12:54PM
What are the odds Johnson and Frank will be called to task for
this mess? Zip. Zero. Nada.
timb| 6.17.11 @ 4:53PM
well, a former Forbes campaign worker just did write a book on
them and David brooks just denounced them -- ridiculously -- from
the pages of the most prestigious newspaper in America, but
otherwise?
Sadly, no public hanging will occur to satiate your [misplaced]
blood lust, Jack.
JP| 6.17.11 @ 10:48AM
The collapse of the real estate markets is something that will linger for a decade or more. Litterally trillions were wiped out. Currently the Federal Reserve Bank holds half of trillion dollars in TARP assets it purchased. And these assetts are losing value every month. There is no way anyone will buy these properties off the Fed.
To make matters worse, the first of 76 million Baby Boomers are retiring. That's almost 25% of the population. Even without the mortgage collapse of 2008, the US would be seeing a problem with excess real estate inventories. Outside of demolishing these properties there isn't much that can be done. The 2010 Census indicated that our population grew at the slowest pace since the Great Depression. And the fastest growing demographic doesn't have the income to buy into the housing and real estate markets. Some places will continue to decay (ie Detroit), while others will see substantial growth (namely Texas). But all in all, when the dust does settle, we will see that our housing inventories are way too large. Great for buyers, disaster for sellers. In May, national housing prices slid below the 2000 levels. Many experts say that 20 years of housing equities will have to be lost before a recovery begins. Not far from where I live, a new house that sold for $310,000 in 2006 is now on the market for $165,000. That's got to hurt. Some predict that the 30 year fixed mortgage will go by the wayside, as most banks and lenders get out of real estate entirely.
Teflon93| 6.17.11 @ 11:57AM
What part of $138 billion do Americans not understand? The Fannie/Freddie bailouts---which are ongoing mind you---will dwarf every other bailout in this crisis.
And Fannie and Freddie are trying to reinflate the housing bubble at this very moment.
timb| 6.17.11 @ 4:51PM
The last sentence says everything you need to know about the entire comment. "An inflating housing bubble..." when housing prices have fallen for 10 months in a row. nice analysis
Rick V.| 6.17.11 @ 12:14PM
Barney Frank, "egregiously immoral"? Go figure.
Bob Grant| 6.17.11 @ 12:44PM
I'm no second coming of Milton Friedman but with long term, stable (i.e. manufacturing) jobs exiting the country primarily due to Big Labor wage inflation, coupled with NGO's handing out mortgages like crack, what were we to expect?
Whomever the republican candidate will be, he/she needs to educate the public on how we really got into this mess and leave no culprit unmentioned (got that GWB?).
KennesawJack| 6.17.11 @ 12:54PM
What are the odds Johnson and Frank will be called to task for this mess? Zip. Zero. Nada.
timb| 6.17.11 @ 4:53PM
well, a former Forbes campaign worker just did write a book on them and David brooks just denounced them -- ridiculously -- from the pages of the most prestigious newspaper in America, but otherwise?
Sadly, no public hanging will occur to satiate your [misplaced] blood lust, Jack.