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In his economic address today in Chicago, former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty established an ambitious goal of 5 percent economic growth and outlined a series of pro-growth tax policies. My friend Dave Weigel snarks: “Cut taxes so we can grow the economy, like it grew after we raised taxes.”

Pawlenty cites the economic booms of the 1980s and '90s as his evidence a 5 percent growth rate is feasible. Weigel acknowledges the Reagan tax cuts and the 1997 capital gains tax cut under Clinton, but writes:  “The thing is… both of those economic expansions followed on tax hikes.” He counters with the 1982 TERFA tax hike under Reagan, as well as the 1993 Clinton tax increase, as belying Pawlenty’s claims.

But 1983 was also the year that the marginal tax rate reductions from the 1981 Reagan tax cuts were fully phased in. Those were net tax cuts and led to lower rates. After the 1986 Tax Reform Act, the top rate went down to 28 percent. I’m not sure Pawlenty’s tax proposals can stimulate the growth he claims, but it’s a bit much to say the '80s economic boom and all the revenues gains are attributable to TERFA.

View all comments (3) |

David| 6.7.11 @ 7:16PM

OK, maybe all politicians are heir to wildly speculative hyperbole as a disease but Pawlenty's "Google Test" is just plain silly. Just because the private sector CAN do something, doesn't mean it SHOULD or MUST do it. Incompetence and/or willful misconduct PLUS the profit motive sounds like a profoundly poor choice compared to public sector incompetence and/or willful misconduct.

Clint| 6.7.11 @ 9:42PM

Club For Growth:
"Tim Pawlenty was elected to the Minnesota House of Representatives in 1992. He was re-elected five times and became majority leader in 1998. He was then elected Governor in 2002 and was re-elected in 2006. Since Pawlenty has never served in Congress, he does not have a rating by the Club for Growth. However, the Cato Institute, a free market think tank, produces a biennial scorecard on the nation’s governors based on their tax and spending policies and actions. Over his two terms, Pawlenty’s scores were:

2010 – “A”
2008 – “B”
2006 – “C”
2004 – “B”

Before that, he was rated by the non-partisan Taxpayers League of Minnesota during his time in the Minnesota Legislature. In 2002, the last year that Pawlenty was in office as a state legislator, he received a 75%. Over the years 1997-2002, his average score was 80% while the average House Republican score over that time period was just over 75%. "

Blogger | 6.16.11 @ 2:06PM

It's a shame what they're trying to do...
This tax cut proposal would cut taxes by an average of $490,000 per millionaire in 2013. It would boost their average after-tax income from about $2 million to $2.5 million.
By comparison, people earning $40,000 to $50,000 would get an average tax cut of about $700, or less than 2 percent of after-tax income.
I talk about it at http://wp.me/p195xy-13

More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III

http://spectator.org/blog/2011/06/07/pawlenty-tax-cuts-and-tax-incr

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