Yemeni President Ali Abdullah Saleh has been helpful in the
fight against Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, but Thomas
Joscelyn
argues that the Obama administration shouldn’t be so reluctant
to see him go:
Surely it’s time for Saleh to step down. Indeed,
there is every indication he is going to go, whether America
blesses the move or not.
While the future of a post-Saleh Yemen is far from certain,
every day he stays the situation gets worse. The administration
rightly says that it wants to prevent as much violence as possible,
but Saleh is escalating tensions - not reducing them - by clinging
to power. And every day the Obama administration pushes for more
“dialogue,” resentment for America grows. Indeed, as a friend in
Yemen recently told me: “President Saleh is the face of America.”
Therefore, as Yemenis see it, America gets part of the blame when
Saleh’s forces kill protesters - whether we deserve it or not.
Perhaps most importantly, let us not forget that Saleh is far
from an ideal partner in the fight against al Qaeda. Throughout his
reign, and especially since September 11, 2001, al Qaeda has only
grown stronger in his country. Saleh has skillfully played the
rising terrorist threat to his own advantage. He is duplicitous and
corrupt - always cutting deals with whoever will pay the highest
price. And he has backed some of the most dangerous al
Qaeda-affiliated characters in Yemen even in the face of
substantial international pressure.
Joscelyn makes a good case that Saleh isn’t as great an ally as
he might appear. But there’s a lot packed into “the future of a
post-Saleh Yemen is far from certain.” Yemen may be a problem with
no good solution. There’s a case for getting out in front of
Saleh’s fall in the hopes of maintaining good relations with
whoever takes over (insofar as it’s possible to take over in a
country where a four-way civil war has been simmering for years).
There’s also a case for sticking with him all the way down, to
signal that support in the fight against al Qaeda, even if it is
somewhat uneven, buys support from the United States. It would be
hard to fault the Obama administration too much for picking either
of those bad options.
All American American| 3.24.11 @ 8:07AM
Wow did I call this yesterday or what???