Repealing the new national health care law would result in gross
savings of $1.4 trillion, a new report by the Congressional Budget
Office finds.
During the health care debate, Democrats were hard pressed to
keep up with President Obama’s promise that the legislation would
cost “around $900 billion.” So they employed the gimmick of
delaying the major spending provisions until 2014 to make the
legislation appear cheaper within the CBO’s ten-year budget window,
then 2010 through 2019. At the time, I
calculated that this tactic deferred 98 percent of the spending
to the last six years of that period. Well, now two years have
passed, and the CBO’s budget window has shifted to 2012 through
2021 — and volià — the estimate that was $940 billion at
the time of passage has suddenly gone up to $1.4 trillion. Keep in
mind that this estimate still includes two years (2012 and 2013)
prior to full implementation. Clearly, the actual 10-year cost of
the major coverage provisions is going to be even higher — likely
something closer to $1.8 trillion.
Of course, Democrats are going to focus on the CBO’s other
finding — that repealing the health care law would add $210
billion to deficits over this period. But let’s break that down.
It’s true that the law also includes $732 billion in spending cuts
(primarily for Medicare). Right now, we’re engaged in a bitter
debate over how to wring savings out of the federal budget so we
can reduce the debt. Well, if the $732 billion in cuts had not been
used to pay for a new entitlement, they’d still be available for
deficit reduction.
Even so, when all the cuts are taken into account, net spending
still goes up by $604 billion under the health care law. The way it
achives deficit reduction is through $813 billion in tax hikes. In
other words, the law “saves” money only if you think alll money is
government property to begin with — it certainly doesn’t save the
taxpayers who are coughing up the additional $813 billion.