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John Guardiano takes Ben Stein, Jed Babbin and yours truly to task for our skepticism over the volatile political situation in Egypt.

Well, I guess that puts me in good company.

Guardiano will be delighted to know that I will have a new article up later this morning concerning which horse the Obama Administration will back. I am sure he will have something to say about it.

In the meantime, let me make a couple of observations about Guardiano’s critique. First, Guardiano states that I am wrong to assert “that anti-Semitism and a hatred for Israel are the driving force behind the Egyptian uprising.” Well, here’s what I actually wrote:

So under the circumstances I think Sarah Palin is being absolutely prudent when she states, “We want to be able to trust those who are screaming for democracy there in Egypt, that it is a true sincere desire for freedoms.” Palin would like to hope that Egypt will be a better place than it is now but she cannot be certain it will turn out that way. Now there are certainly demonstrators who want a liberal, secular democracy in Egypt. But when you consider that the demonstrators are more apt to hold signs of Mubarak with a Star of David drawn on his forehead than build a replica of the Statue of Liberty it ought to make the Mike Lupicas of the world pause for thought.

Curiously, Guardiano praises Lupica’s criticism of Palin’s position on Egypt. Specifically, he lauds Lupica for quoting Groucho Marx who famously said, “Who are you gonna believe: me or your own lyin’ eyes?” Now, I don’t know if Guardiano wears glasses. But if he does I strongly suspect there is a rosy tint in the lens because he is apparently unwilling to see the images of Mubarak being associated with the Star of David. Not only is the Star of David being drawn on Mubarak’s forehead in pictures but they are being drawn on dummies of Mubarak being hung in effigy. If Egyptian protesters consider Mubarak a tool of Israel is it really a stretch that to think these protesters hold Israel responsible for their lot in life under Mubarak?

Let us consider that when the Pew Research Center undertook a survey of Muslim attitudes towards Jews and Israel in the spring of 2009, 95% of Egyptian Muslims responded that they had an unfavorable view. When you consider that Mubarak has maintained a peace agreement with Israel for all these years and yet Egyptian Muslims still overwhelmingly view Jews and Israel with such enormous hostility one simply cannot ignore such sentiments when scrutinizing the nature of the Egyptian protests.

Second, Guardiano makes the claim that Stein, Babbin, myself and other conservatives for our lack of optimism for the Egyptians and chides us for being “un-Reagan-esque” in our pessimism. Yet it’s far from clear whether Reagan would have thrown Mubarak under the bus. Rush Limbaugh has been kind enough to uncover some footage from the Second 1984 Presidential Debate against Walter Mondale (the one in which Reagan said Mondale’s youth and inexperience should not be held against him). During this debate, Reagan took the Carter Administration to task for its treatment of the Shah of Iran:

I did criticize the president because of our undercutting of what was a stalwart ally, the Shah of Iran. And I am not at all convinced that he was that far out of line with his people or that they wanted that to happen. The Shah had done our bidding and carried our load in the Middle East for quite some time and I did think that it was a blot on our record that we let him down. Have things gotten better?

In the grand scheme of things, President Reagan understood the difference between optimism and wishful thinking. Unfortunately, Guardiano’s views on Egypt tend towards the latter rather than the former.

View all comments (6) |

PCC| 2.8.11 @ 6:08AM

An enemy around every corner and under every bed. Unending strife with allies and enemies alike. War is the means, the end, the question and the answer.

You guys probably support the TSA and its ridiculous security theater. Act quickly, the website address "ParanoiacsAreUs.com" is still available. Please send me a copy of your book, "Losing Friends and Creating Enemies for Dummies".

Tina B| 2.8.11 @ 6:43AM

I watched the Shah's exit from Iran and Iran since. I would love to allow myself optimism, but I am sadder and wiser. This does not bode well for Israel or her supporters.

JP| 2.8.11 @ 7:34AM

To those like Bill Krystal, every mass demonstration is a cause for joyful weeping. If they were alive in 1930-36, they would have thought the Nazis at the mass rallies were Minutemen.

martin j smith| 2.8.11 @ 9:41AM

Watch,wait till you really know what is happening. In the meantime get intelligence and hope for the best prepare for the worst. Make noises that are nice but meaningless and do not call for any ones ouster at this time. Lets see how thing unfold. But, do not tell Glen Beck or Sara Palin to shut up. Those who warn us of dire outcomes should be listened to with an open mind but withhold judgement till the facts are known. Those who are warning us may be right --we will look like asses if we ignore them.

Conservative Bob| 2.8.11 @ 10:08AM

Caution is not at all misplaced under these circumstances. When power changes hands it is often years before the new order is fully established, and a long time before the true character of the leadership is known.
If we are prudent we should be prepared to move quickly to embrace and support the more democratic elements while simultaneously preparing to protect our interest and allies should a more radical anti western leadership begin to dominate.

kingsmill| 2.8.11 @ 10:48AM

Guardiano showed sense on DADT. Concerning Egypt he is he all at sea. He's bought into the "end of history" fantasy. Next stop the Weekly Standard?

More Blog Posts by Aaron Goldstein

http://spectator.org/blog/2011/02/08/more-conservative-pessimism-in

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