Ramesh Ponnuru is probably
right that if Republicans follow one of their usual scripts —
try to rein in entitlements, let the Democrats demagogue
their proposals, and then lose — it will not redound to their
benefit politically. But neither will the party benefit from
following the most common Republican storyline of all: talking
about limited government while ignoring the entitlements crisis and
only going after government programs that cost relatively small
amounts of money.
Whether President Obama is open to making a deal on entitlements
or not, Republicans have to spend the next two years making their
argument on entitlements: That we have made promises that we cannot
afford to keep; that Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid are
going broke; that the middle-class entitlements are a lousy deal
for younger taxpayers; and that it is ultimately deferring action
that will endanger the benefits of current retirees. In other
words, they have to make a concerted effort to rewrite the
usual scripts on entitlements.
The electorate was more or less blindsided by past Republican
attempts to deal with entitlements, even when — as was the
case with George W. Bush’s proposal to reform Social Security —
the rough contours of what a conservative reform would look like
had been apparent for years. Yet Bush laid little to no groundwork
for his Social Security plan during his first term. If Republicans
don’t start making their case in a sustained way and thinking about
ways to get reforms enacted, it really won’t matter very much for
the country’s fiscal future whether the party wins elections or
not.
UPDATE: Peter Suderman has more
over at Reason.
martin j smith| 1.14.11 @ 3:05PM
The idea of entitelments is meaningless unless it is seen in the contest of the economy as a whole the issues that WILL worm their way into the voters perception of the economy in the next two years. To have entitelments you have to have revenue. to have that you need large numbers of employed people who can be taxed with the result that entitlements can be paid for. here are issues that will negatively impact on entitelments: One inflation in many area but lets food and power supplies such as fossil fuels. The unemployment. Costs of energy will negatively impact on employment. The decrease of the value in the dollar will certainly be significant and other matters. So at the end of the day --I love that expresssion-- it will the "economy stupid".
Finally i might add this: Republicans did not on their own by their own weight win the election. This was a vote AGAINST not a vote FOR. I am convinced that the 2012 election will go in a similar direction. If Republicans are seen as being no better or different( again ) as Democrat(ic ? ) Party the we can flip a coin. But if the Tea Party Movement folks assert themselves and at least try to make economic reforms--unless Obama creates an economic revery with significant decrease in unemployment--There will be another wipe out. In this scenario, Sarah palin could be the one. Thus all of the LEFT venom because they KNOW things ill not look good.