BEIRUT - Lebanon's year-old unity government collapsed Wednesday
after Hezbollah ministers and their allies resigned over tensions
stemming from a U.N.-backed tribunal investigating the 2005
assassination of former Prime Minister Rafik Hariri.
The walkout ushers in the country's worst political crisis since
2008 in one of the most volatile corners of the Middle East.
The tribunal is widely expected to name members of Hezbollah in
upcoming indictments, which many fear could re-ignite sectarian
tensions that have plagued the tiny country for decades.
President Obama met today with Prime Minister Saad Hariri of
Lebanon. The President commended the Prime Minister for his
steadfast leadership and efforts to reach peace, stability, and
consensus in Lebanon under difficult circumstances. The efforts by
the Hizballah-led coalition to collapse the Lebanese government
only demonstrate their own fear and determination to block the
government's ability to conduct its business and advance the
aspirations of all of the Lebanese people. The President and Prime
Minister reaffirmed their commitment to strengthening Lebanon's
sovereignty and independence, implementing all relevant United
Nations Security Council Resolutions, and continuing a wide-ranging
and long-term partnership between the United States and
Lebanon.
During their meeting, the President stressed the importance of
the work of the Special Tribunal for Lebanon as a means to help end
the era of political assassinations with impunity in Lebanon. The
President and Prime Minister specifically discussed united efforts
with France, Saudi Arabia, and other key international and regional
actors to maintain calm in Lebanon and ensure that the work of the
Tribunal continues unimpeded by third parties. The President and
Prime Minister expressed their determination to achieve both
stability and justice in Lebanon during this challenging period of
government volatility, and agreed that all parties should avoid
threats or actions that could cause instability.
Shiite (i.e., pro-Hezbollah) vs. Sunni (i.e., pro-Hariri)
bloodshed is not guaranteed to break out, but if it does, Hezbollah
will win. It could then attempt to take full control of Lebanon by
force, if that is the will of its Iranian and Syrian patrons.
Israel is keeping its head down for the time being, but Sheik
Nasrallah has been trying for some time to throw responsibility for
the Hariri assassination on us as a deflective measure. That tactic
hasn't gotten him very far, and he is perfectly capable of
launching a serious fight with us as a "unifying" measure --
indeed, he might calculate that that would be a wiser move than
coming out swinging against Lebanese citizens in the streets of
Beirut.