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Earlier this morning the Census Bureau announced the new distribution of Congressional seats among the states following the 2010 Census, and based on recent history, the shift would seem to benefit Republicans when it comes to presidential elections.

The Census found that traditionally Republican states gained more population over the past decade than states that have typically been Democratic strongholds.

States that have gone Republican in all three elections gained a total of eight seats (Arizona, Georgia, South Carolina, Texas and Utah) and lost two (Louisiana and Missouri) for a net gain of six seats. By contrast, states that have gone consistently Democratic gained just one seat in Washington, but lost seven (Illinois, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, Pennsylvania and New York) for a net loss of six seats. That's an overall net change of 12 seats favoring Republicans.

Among the remaining states that have swung over the course of the last three elections, Florida and Nevada gained a combined three seats, while Iowa and Ohio lost three.

If the new allocation of Congressional seats had been around during this past decade, George Bush would have gained a net of 14 electoral votes over Al Gore and 12 votes over John Kerry. In 2008, John McCain would have also gained a net of 14 over Barack Obama.

View all comments (3) | Leave a comment

Dixie Pixie| 12.21.10 @ 1:51PM

As a true buzz-kill, Bush 43 is openly warning that the Bush family is positioning Jeb Bush for President 2012.

Bob C| 12.21.10 @ 3:27PM

Don't get all warm and fuzzy about this...where do you think all those Upper East Side liberals went? Minnesota? They moved to those red states, where they will infect the electorate. I see it happen here, in Virginia, every year. And how many of those new Texans used to live in Nuevo Laredo? I live in Eric Cantor's district; about as save a Rep seat as there is, right? Well, he got a smaller % of the vote in this past election than he did in '08, a decidedly blue year (59% vs 63%). Keep your powder dry.

Spicy Joker| 12.22.10 @ 12:28AM

Almost all the population growth is from illegal aliens and their kids.

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More Blog Posts by Philip Klein

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