Pete Domenici and Alice Rivlin, who co-chair an outside group on
deficit reduction not to be confused with Obama’s commission, are
out today with their own
proposal to reduce the deficit. Like many of the proposals
around, it has some good ideas, but also a lot of bad ideas.
The plan includes an element of economic stimulus in the form of
a one-year payroll tax holiday. Back during the economic stimulus
debate I advocated some form of this. My preferred solution would
have been to make this a major component of the stimulus, and you
could have structured it in a way so that the payroll tax gradually
goes back to normal over a number of years as the economy
theoretically improves. Remember, the payroll tax is paid both by
workers and their employers, so if you cut or temporarily eliminate
the tax, you’re not only leaving individuals with more money to
spend, but you’re reducing the price of labor for businesses, which
would help with the unemployment situation. While I think there’s a
lot to be said for going after the payroll tax, I’m just not sure
that a one year holiday would be the best way of going about it
given that employers may be more reluctant to take on new
obligations if they know that the tax is going to go right up
again. Maybe a lower tax rate spread out over a longer period of
time, would have a better impact.
The group makes some strong proposals to simplify the tax code
by eliminating a number of deductions and credits, and moving to a
flatter tax system — with just two rates of 15 percent and 27
percent. The plan would also reduce the corporate tax rate from 35
poercent to 27 percent, making the United States more competitive
globally. On the negative side, the proposal calls for a 6.5
percent national sales tax.
When it comes to Social Security, the plan would raise payroll
taxes on higher income individuals while cutting the benefits of
wealthier beneficiaries, and changing the cost of living
adjustments so that they more accurately reflect inflation and thus
grow at a slower clip.
On health care, the group has a strong proposal to phase out the
employer tax exclusion on health benefits, and to have medical
malpractice reform. However, the plan also calls for a soda
tax.
The proposal calls for a four year freeze on discressionary
spending and a five year freeze on defense spending.
The problem with all of these so-called “bipartisan plans” to
reduce the deficit, is that they all include elements that are
completely unacceptable to each side, making it impossible to
enact.