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The Spectacle Blog
Since Quin has started it, I might as well take the plunge too. I think the Republicans will hold all Republican-held Senate seats, with Alaska being the closest. But my prediction is that Lisa Murkowski’s write-in campaign will underperform the poll numbers to the benefit of GOP nominee Joe Miller. Republicans will pick up Senate seats in North Dakota, Arkansas, Indiana, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Nevada, Colorado, Washington, and Illinois, in order of likelihood. (Though I have only put Washington in the win column in the last 24 hours.)
That’s a net pickup of 9, for a 50-50 split with Joe Biden’s tie-breaking vote allowing Democrats to organize the Senate. Several of these races will be too close to call on election night (some might even be the subject of litigation). Consequently, I am also predicting that Republican campaigns in California, West Virginia, Connecticut, and Delaware will fall short. At the end of the night, the Republicans will have a majority in the House, picking up 60 seats, and will also have most state governorships.
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More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III
http://spectator.org/blog/2010/11/01/predictions
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Booger| 11.1.10 @ 6:55PM
Booger's blow-by-blow (couldn't help myself).
House: G.O.P. gains 64 seats.
Senate: G.O.P. wins 10 races but has at least two stolen (WA, IL, possibly NV) through fraud and liberal judges.
Side bet: If G.O.P. does manage to seat 10 and take majority, DeMint launches major campaign for Senate Majority Leader with backing of Tea Party candidates who have been repeatedly back-stabbed by RINOs running the NRSC. Go Jim Go.
Cordially,
Booger
bill capron| 11.1.10 @ 8:40PM
we can only hope!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Jarrod Heath| 11.1.10 @ 7:06PM
Republicans pick up 72 in the House and 9 in the Senate (in what would have been 11 without Al Franken style election stealing).
matthew s harrison| 11.1.10 @ 8:12PM
look for surprises in Delaware and California.
My call is 72 seats in the house-with another 9 being contested and won after Christmas...Further, I see some senate surprises and a majority for the good guys there too. It is going to be a blow out of proportions no one saw coming.
luvntheBIGsites| 11.1.10 @ 8:22PM
I'll join "Booger" in a little side bet. ;)
Total GOP pick ups are... irrelevant. The house is in the bag and the Senate will flip to the GOP one way or the other. Call it ramifications from "operation reverse Chaos". The remaining wounded Dems will collude and draft a few to fall on the sword and switch parties to make the 2012 elections more politically "palatable" for the in-coming Clinton machine.
Of course all of their grand plans will fail laughably... but that doesn't mean they wont try.
Thats my bet anyway...
tonypal| 11.1.10 @ 8:41PM
Pickup of 65 in the House and 9 in the Senate. If they do better than 9, I'll be pleasantly surprised.
What I'm most looking forward to is Darrell Issa and others suddenly having the power to investigate. We all know about the DOJ/Black Panther case and a few others. But remember that we have hardcore, radical leftists running the show. My guess is there is rampant corruption anywhere you want to look. It's what leftists do; it's in their blood because it's by any means necessary. Should be a fun 2 years.
Spicy Joker| 11.1.10 @ 10:17PM
Hopefully, the Tea Partiers will be more careful next time about choosing candidates. Mike Castle was a RINO, but Christine O'Donnell is a joke who has made conservatives look like fools. She can't even look Hannity in the eye when he's throwing softballs at her! Good riddens.
CalMark| 11.1.10 @ 10:32PM
Remember Reagan's 11th Commandment.
You're the joke.
Interested Conservative| 11.2.10 @ 12:56AM
I understand everyone may be giddy, or cautious, or trying to be professional, BUT, if it is truly a tsunami, rather than a wave, perhaps daring to dream is in order.
How about all the obvious leaners going to the GOP, and adding some completely unknowns.
Given all the incumbent protection gerrymandering, and financial fixing, such an effect is unlikely, even in a tsunami, but still, if it ever happens, this may be the year.
Has anyone dared pick 90+ seats in the house, or even 100? How about 52 in the senate, or even 54?
Why not?
The only partially true MSM spin I'll be watching for tomorrow is the rebirth or a liberal New England based GOP. It will be their only explanation if 10+ GOP congressmen win there.