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The Spectacle Blog
Powerline’s Paul Mirengoff makes the case that the 2012 Republican nomination is Sarah Palin’s to lose given her popularity among the Tea Party movement. But I think it’s important to draw a distinction between Palin receiving a hero’s welcome at Tea Party events, or even showing tremendous influence in GOP primaries, and people choosing her as a presidential nominee. Back in April, a NY Times/CBS poll of Tea Partiers found that 66 percent viewed Palin favorably, yet a plurality of 47 percent to 40 percent said she didn’t have the ability to be an effective president. Some conservatives may dismiss any NY Times poll, but it is telling that respondents viewed general favorability and presidential qualifications as two separate questions. So I think that we should be careful not to conflate the two and assume that Palin has the Tea Party vote locked up in a presidential race.
View all comments (31) | Leave a comment
More Blog Posts by Philip Klein
http://spectator.org/blog/2010/09/15/gop-prez-nomination-isnt-palin
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Shawn Macomber| 9.15.10 @ 3:17PM
Agreed. Republican voters of all stripes are going to be much more pragmatic than Deleware primary voters when 2012 comes along and they're faced with the possibility of four more years of an Obama Administration perfectly comfortable using the federal bureaucracy to affect policy. And I don't think that apprehension is going to serve Sarah Palin very well.
Alan Brooks| 9.16.10 @ 9:17AM
"yet a plurality of 47 percent to 40 percent said she didn't have the ability to be an effective president."
Oh, dearie, how could they SAY such a thing! why, dats not vewwy NICE.
freethrow| 9.15.10 @ 3:23PM
She can be our queen mother, but give us someone electable for president.
B D| 9.15.10 @ 3:34PM
She'll run the first all-twitter presidential campaign!
JP| 9.15.10 @ 3:45PM
I think when after one considers the following list of GOP misfits of The Huckster, Mitt Romny, Newt Gingrich, and Pawlenty, one can imagine Palin as a front-runner.
Remember Clinton ran in 1992 only after Mario Cuomo refused to throw in his hat. He too was somewhat of an outsider with a list of "unelectable" qualities. But he benefitted from a weak list of competitors (the only one I can remember is the late Paul Tsongas).
Tim*| 9.15.10 @ 5:07PM
Potential Republican Candidates include Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal , Indiana Congressman Mike Pence , South Carolina Senator and Tea Party Kingmaker Jim DeMint and others
Radar| 9.15.10 @ 3:46PM
Sarah may do MORE for this country as a "king or Queen" maker than by trying to BE the KING or Queen.
If she choses not to run, she is more free to shape the debate and influence all of the NON-Libtard candidates including those in the STUPID PARTY (AKA-GOP).
She could well be as effective as WF Buckley or Barry Goldwater, and even that would be a hugh accomplishment.
Time will tell.
Margie| 9.15.10 @ 3:54PM
And she already IS as effective as those 2 men. Though Goldwater lost his mind later, and turned into a rabid Libertarian denouncing Christians and "social" conservatism, I fear not the same fate for Sarah.
Those who dismiss her relevancy are going to have to eat their words.
Bob| 9.15.10 @ 3:56PM
Sarah Palin is standing tall taking potshots on a daily basis from both sides of the aisle and winning victories. Tell me what wimpy potential male GOP presidential candidate has accomplished as much or anything.
DRed| 9.15.10 @ 4:21PM
How many of them have held an executive position for a full term without quitting?
Bob| 9.15.10 @ 4:37PM
If the GOP nominates a presidential candidate without the full support of the Tea Party, THAT candidate cannot win a general election. Hence the battle to come between Palin-Tea Party vs the Republican establishment presidential candidates.
CalMark| 9.15.10 @ 5:02PM
If she's so worthless, you need not expend any more energy (or bile, or hate) on her.
JP| 9.15.10 @ 9:43PM
And how many of these GOP "front runners" have been smeared by the MSM and thier party in the following manner:
1)Accused of promoting incest within thier own families(During the campaign the MSM let loose a whole string of pornographic gossip concerning Trig, Bristol, and Mr. Palin)?
2)Accused of using sex to advance thier own careers?
3)Investigated for fraud without one shred of hard evidence?
4)Accused of being a verifiable Moron?
5)Being belittled by thier own national parties politican organization (McCain's handlers rushed to the press to tell tout le monde what a ignorant, inbred simpleton she was).
6)None of the GOP candidates have had everyone from thier spouses to thier children targeted by the MSM (and the GOP establishment) for every kind of filth and gossip one can think of (see the item # 1)
Louis| 9.16.10 @ 12:54AM
Remember - she stepped down as governor to "affect change in american polititic"- and man has she succeeded!!!! Sarah Palin is the single most important endorsement for any consevative politician in america. Basically it's lick her boots or you're out!! DRed should heed that advice along with Karl Rove- disgraced political guru
David| 9.15.10 @ 3:56PM
Sarah can't win. End of story. The GOP may have bupkus for candidates, but Sarah can't win.
Louis| 9.16.10 @ 12:59AM
Yes she can! If O'Donnell, Paul, Rubio, Fiorina,Miller and Allan West all win - she will rocket to the top of GOP ticket and can easily win a 3 way as an independent(if necessary) against Obama and Romney. She will own the next election.
Interested Conservative| 9.15.10 @ 4:17PM
In 2024 Gov. Palin will be younger than Hilary Clinton is today.
She can wait, and look forward to giving democrats and assorted fellow travelers lots of problems in the meanwhile.
Cecelia Rodriguez | 9.16.10 @ 10:31AM
I agree with interested conservative. Sarah Palin is still quite young. She is doing an excellent job with what she is presently doing. I am sorry to say this but I don't think that the American public or most of these male politicians are ready for a woman President. I think some of the female voters are worse than the men. I say this as a female conservative. I was disgusted with the treatment Hillary got as well as Sarah. And I don't even agree with most of what Hillary believes or does.
Sarah can wait. She needs more experience and she is getting that. Perhaps she can run for another office, like Senator. Also that would give her more time once her children grow up. She just needs more experience. As a woman, I think our first woman candidate does not need to be like Obama - full of himself and with no experience to back up his opinions. That said, I really like her because she comes across as a real person. That is what we need.
Ivan| 9.15.10 @ 4:18PM
"Sarah can't win. End of story. The GOP may have bupkus for candidates, but Sarah can't win."
Goldwater could not win in 1964. Period. Does that mean that he contributed less by his defeat to the conservative cause that supremely "electable" George H. W. Bush? Or Nixon? Or G. W. Bush? And that Buckley and co. were wrong to push him in 1964 as a candidate, instead of some electable RINO, like Nelson Rockfeller?
I have an impression that most of the people who object to Palin's or O'Donnell's electability actually take issue with their ideology, but prefere to not say so openly.
David| 9.15.10 @ 4:56PM
I would love to see Sarah as president. I'm not sure how effective she would be considering the forces that would align against her. However, the fact is those same forces will ensure she can't win.
jcp370| 9.15.10 @ 4:27PM
We don't need her to run in 2012. I think she understands her power and accepts her role for now. Working, working all the time. She'll let us who should run. Granted she's not always right but she will be when it matters most.
serfer62| 9.15.10 @ 6:17PM
Goc Palin is just as unelectable as O'Donnell is...oh, wait
R. Dittmar| 9.15.10 @ 7:27PM
Have we moved on from talking about O'Donnell could never win to talking about how Sarah could never win? Maybe we can get someone electable like Mike Castle to take her on for the nomination. After all, his schedule is pretty free for the next six years.
Oldbull| 9.15.10 @ 7:43PM
David, thank you for your succinct opinion. But that's all it is, your opinion. If you care to flesh it out with, you know, evidence and stuff, I'll be interested to read it. But for now, please know that your opinion is not immutable fact.
Ken (Old Texican)| 9.15.10 @ 8:31PM
I will say it until my fingers fall off. I hope and pray that Sarah runs. If nothing else she will force the men...to "man up"!
MtTopPatriot| 9.15.10 @ 9:23PM
Not electable?
With what was elected now fouling the White House you consider Mrs. Palin with all her accomplishments and true American values and principles unelectable?
What rock on what planet did you crawl out from under if I may ask.
'53 Korean Vet| 9.15.10 @ 10:17PM
Believe it or Not--Sarah was the only one, running who had a Solution to "Save" over one million Soc Security Retired People, who had FHA or VA loans with fixed interest from losing their homes-! With costs of food, utilities, gas, & medicines going up, & people on fixed incomes ran out of money--"Give them a 3-yr Property-Tax Exemption, & let them apply $300 a month from their own pocket--to save their homes from being lost from mortgage-foreclosures-!" She did that while she was Mayor of Wasilla--She exempted her citizens from Property-Taxes-! It worked in Alaska--why not use it for every State in the U.S.? That's $3600 a year, & the city of Detriot wasted $10,000 to have each vandalized house--razed to the ground-! That was Tax-payers' money being wasted, where they didn't "Save" the homes, nor the home-owners-! Plus, the owners now likely went on County Welfare, that wasted more taxes! Does that sound like you've got a winner solution?
Osamas Pajamas| 9.16.10 @ 1:06AM
I'd vote for Sarah if she became the Republican nominee, and her growth rate and command of the issues expands daily, so that by 2012 she could be quite electable. And if she doesn't go that route in 2012, that doesn't rule out a later run, after some years fundraising for limited-government / constitutionalist candidates.
bert| 9.16.10 @ 1:14AM
let me get this right.This blogger actually thinks a NYT/ CVBS is not a piece of hard coare left wing propaganda cooked up by a pack of West side Manhattan ELITES ! Are you , Mr Klein this out of touch with reality to believe a single vowel issued by either one of these Dem party front group ? You need to get your DC / NY elite butt out in the real world due east of PA one in awhile.
Spicy Joker| 9.16.10 @ 1:39AM
Anybody but Twit Romney, Mike Hucksterbee, or Rudy Ghouliani.
mike| 9.16.10 @ 5:09AM
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