It was sad to hear on Monday of the death of climate researcher
Stephen
Schneider, 65, of Stanford University, whom I knew slightly
and debated on two occasions. Schneider was a
true believer in the dangers of global warming. He was a
warm and broadminded man, open to the opinions of others. He
exhibited none of the shrillness that colors the
climate-doomsday crowd.
Schneider thought greenhouse gas regulation would not happen
until a reasonable middle ground is found between the doomsday
left and naysayer right. No such middle ground is in view on
any current horizon -
this week's acrimonious collapse of talks in the Senate
about a greenhouse gas bill is evidence. Harsh, strident
ideology on both sides is a reason the Senate bill failed. If
all players in the climate change debate had even half the
personal grace and geniality Schneider possessed, progress
would be proceeding apace.
I have to assume that Schneider was a nice guy, but I have no
direct knowledge about his demeanor. But his scientific
consistency was something different. Many people do not
know that Schneider worried about a new Ice Age before he
told us the world was going to burn up.
There's an old Leonard Nimoy climate special set in Buffalo, New
York during one of its worst winters a couple decades back that
includes an appearance by Dr. Schneider. And he wasn't
worried about CO2 emissions and a warming planet. Instead,
he thought glaciers were set to doom humanity.
Presumably he changed his position because he thought doing so
was warranted by the evidence. But it's worth remembering a
newspaper interview that he gave back in the early
1990s. The Washington Times editorialized on his
amazing honesty. (The piece is in the archives, but you have
to pay for access: "Unbalancing Act," June 12,
1992, p. F2.)
Explains the Times:
"It is journalistically irresponsible to present both sides [of
the global warming question] as though it were a question of
balance," he told the Boston Globe recently. "Given the
distribution of views, with groups like the National Academy of
Science expressing strong scientific conern, it is
irresponsible to give equal time to a few people standing out
in left field."
...
But there are good reasons for balanced reporting, and one of
them is none other than Stephen Schneider. Those who
quote him run the risk of using information from someone who
can't seem to get his story (to say nothing of his facts)
straight. Two decades ago he was warning the world that
"a cooling trend has set in, perhaps one akin to the Little Ice
Age."
...
One of Mr. Schneider's problems is that the doesn't let data
get in the way of a good scare. "Looking at every bump
and wiggle of the record is a waste of time," he once
said. "So, I don't set very much store by looking at the
direct evidence."
His methods are admittedly more unorthodox. "To avert the
risk [of global warming] we need to get some braod-based
support, to capture public imagination. That, of course,
means getting loads of media coverage. So we have to
offer up some scary scenarios, make some simplified dramatic
statements and little mention of any doubts one might have. ...
Each of us has to decide what the right balance is between
being effective and being honest."
Sounds like today's global warming debate, writ large.