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Excuse the blunt headline, but I can’t think of a more subtle way of expressing what Ann Coulter seems to be saying in her latest column:
Republican consultants are doing a wonderful job raising expectations sky-high for the November elections, so that now, even if Republicans do smashingly well, it will look like a defeat (and an across-the-board endorsement of Obama’s agenda). Thanks, Republicans!
That’s what happened in the 1998 congressional elections, nearly foiling Clinton’s impeachment. It’s what happened to the Conservative Party in Britain a week ago. And that’s what happened this week in the 12th Congressional District of Pennsylvania, formerly represented by Rep. John Murtha.
Note to Republicans: Whenever possible, victory parties should be held after the election, not before it.
The result of the election in Murtha’s old district on Tuesday was that the rabidly anti-ObamaCare, pro-life, pro-gun candidate won! Yippee!
But the news on Wednesday morning was that the election “dealt a blow to Republicans,” as The New York Times reported… .
So, if Republicans can’t win a special election in PA-12 — Miss Coulter dismisses as “happy talk” any suggestion that a Tim Burns victory was possible — what are the GOP’s prospects for winning back the House of Representatives in November? And if Republicans don’t win this mid-term election, when will they become the majority party again? 2012? 2014? Ever?
Polls in the Pennsylvania special election consistently showed that voters were dissatisfied with Democrats: 63 percent of 12th District voters had a negative opinion of Nancy Pelosi and 55 percent disapproved of President Obama. Yet these same voters went for Democrat Mark Critz by 53 percent to 45 percent for Burns.
Ergo, scratch PA-12 off any list of possible GOP pickups for November. There’s no point even trying. Impossible. Hopeless. Doomed. No Republican will ever be elected to Congress there, and anyone who tells you different is blowing sunshine up your skirt.
At least, that’s what Miss Coulter seems to be saying.
Are there 40 congressional districts in America, now held by Democrats, where Republicans have better prospects in November? Jim Geraghty at National Review ranked 99 House districts by likelihood of a GOP takeover this fall and came up with 39 seats he rated better than the “50/50” chance he gave Burns in PA-12. So even if Republicans win all 39 of those, they’d still have to win some of the “50/50” seats in order to capture a House majority Nov. 2.
Based on Miss Coulter’s analysis, wherein the Tim Burns campaign was a misbegotten exercise in futility — a complete waste of time, effort and money — then under no plausible circumstances can the GOP expect to gain 40 seats in November.
It’s over. The headline on Nov. 3: “Democrats win.” Nancy Pelosi and the Democrats will continue to control Congress, no matter what.
Remember that I told you this in May. Between now and Nov. 2, I might succumb to the delusion that Republicans really have a chance to win.
A man of faith in a godless age is hitting Americans where it hurts.
Mr. and Mrs. American Spectator Reader, let P.J. O’Rourke talk sense to your kids.
In Britain, defending your property can get you life.
The debacle of this president’s administration is both a cause and a symptom of the decline of American values. Unless Congress impeaches him, that decline will go on unchecked. An eminent jurist surveys the damage and assesses the chances for the recovery of our culture.
It won’t take long for conservatives to scratch this presidential wannabe off their 2008 scorecard.
The American Christmas, like the songs that celebrate it, makes room for everybody under the rainbow. Is that why so many people seem to be hostile to it?
Was the President done in by the economy, or by the politics of the economy?