Q. Why is Barack Obama like Superman?
It’s an amazingly consistent process: Frank Rich conjures up his
thesis, scouts around for confirming evidence, and
finds it every time!
Not
since Clark Kent changed in a phone booth has there been an
instant image makeover to match Barack Obama’s in the aftermath
of his health care victory. “He went from Jimmy Carter to
F.D.R. in just a fortnight,” said one of the “Game Change”
authors, Mark Halperin, on MSNBC. “Look at the steam in the
man’s stride!” exclaimed Chris Matthews. “Is it just me, or
does Barack Obama seem different since health care passed?”
wrote Peter Beinart in The Daily Beast, which, like The
Financial Times, ran an illustration portraying the gangly
president as a newly bulked-up Superman.
Isn’t that amazing? Three liberals — Halperin,
Matthews, Beinart — share Rich’s opinion that
congressional passage of liberal health-care legislation without
a single Republican vote makes Obama a magnificent winner.
Despite applause from Rich and his fellow liberals, however,
the president’s
Real Clear Politics job-approval average is currently a
net 1.9 (47.8% approve, 45.9% disapprove), dramatically down from
a net 28.9 (60.7% approve, 31.8% disapprove) a year ago. Every
recent poll shows opponents
of ObamaCare outnumbering supporters —
53% to 32% according to a CBS survey taken after the
bill’s passage — and yet, in the world where Frank
Rich seeks evidence of Obama’s success and popularity, everything
is coming up roses.
Having staked out this counter-factual premise, Rich then
devotes himself to the unoriginal theme of Obama as a Rorshach
inkblot test, asserting that people “see only the Obama they want
to see” — echoing my
own observation in the immediate aftermath of the 2008
election:
Perhaps the most brilliant thing about Barack Obama’s
successful campaign was its vagueness. In offering himself as
the all-purpose Change We Can Believe In, Obama gave believers
a blank slate and a tacit license to project upon him their
deepest longings.
The problem with that kind of belief is that the
inevitable failure to fulfill such infinite
longings results in disillusionment. (Has Obama started
putting gas
in Peggy Joseph’s car yet?) And that disillusionment is most
certain when it comes to the
most startling of Rich’s assumptions:
The speed with which Obama navigates out of the recession, as
measured by new jobs and serious financial reform, remains by
far the most determinative factor in how he, his party and,
most of all, the country will fare in the fractious year of
2010.
Here Rich assumes that Obama will “navigate out of the
recession” and that the only question is the speed with which he
accomplishes the task. Yet unemployment remains
at 9.7% and federal officials predict the rate will
stay at similar levels through 2011.
Having expended some $800 billion on deficit “stimulus” spending,
Obama finds himself facing the ugly economic reality of a market
prepared
to downgrade the AAA rating of U.S. bonds unless the federal
government engages in serious belt-tightening.
Yet another wave of financial crisis, driven by trillions of
dollars of
bad commercial real estate loans, looms on the economic
horizon. In 2009, there were 140 U.S. bank failures; there have
already been 38 bank failures in the first three months of 2010,
a pace likely to accelerate as the year continues. And the
traditional liberal response to this kind of problem
(i.e., more deficit spending) can only be undertaken at
risk of sparking a bond-market crunch along the lines
of the Greek
debt crisis, except on a gargantuan scale.
Rather than navigating out of the recession, Obama and the
Democrats have charted a course into much more serious economic
trouble. As this unpleasant reality hits home in the months
ahead, Frank Rich and his liberal friends will discover yet
another way in which Obama is like Superman: His super-powers are
strictly fictional.