The fiscal collapse of Greece has rattled international markets
and renewed questions about the feasibility of maintaining a
single currency across Europe. But it should also provide a
warning to Americans about how quickly things can unravel for a
country when it refuses to confront the realities of its mounting
debt.
Though significantly smaller than the U.S., some of the same
problems that Greece faces are issues here: over-dependence on a
consumer-based economy, a money-sucking old age pension system,
reliance on other nations to finance its deficits, and a swelling
debt toll that has surpassed its annual gross domestic product.
If it's hard to imagine the same sort of meltdown happening here,
consider this: in Greece, debt is currently at
112. 6 percent of GDP. According to the Congressional Budget
Office's fiscal
projections, we're on course to reach roughly that level
(with debt at 111.5 percent of GDP) in 2025. That's just 15 years
from now.
In the decades that follow 2025, the debt/GDP ratio continues to
soar, according to the CBO -- surging to 205.8 percent by 2038,
509 percent by 2066, and 766.9 percent by 2083. To put that
number in the context of today's GDP, that would be like if our
debt in 2009 were about $100 trillion (of course things would
collapse before reaching that point).
People are unmoved by dire predictions of what may happen decades
from now. But the reality is that investors do look at the long
term, and if the U.S. government doesn't begin taking actions to
rein in our debt, the actual crisis could occur much sooner. All
that would have to happen is that foreign investors could decide
they don't want U.S debt anymore or aren't so keen on the dollar,
which would trigger inflation and drive up our interest payments
just as we're facing a cash crunch.
There's still some time right now to address the debt problem in
a thoughtful manner so that it will cause as little disruption to
our lives as possible. But the longer we wait, the more difficult
things become. And if we simply wait until the crisis hits, we'll
have to confront the problem with ad hoc tax hikes and benefit
cuts that are likely to cripple our economy and cause social
upheaval.
Very soon China will become the world leader if we continue like
now. Now china buys Greece debt, which country will be
next? clasamente fotbal
PCC| 2.15.10 @ 8:03PM
Maybe we shold send a copy of Gov. Christie's speech to the NJ
legislature to the White House and to all members of Congress.
Just a thought.
Sam| 2.15.10 @ 9:56PM
Actually, it's not just debt that should make us wary of China.
Most U.S. companies are outsourcing their production to China
because where they can get laborers happy to work for low wages.
Also, China has fewer environmental restrictions/taxes and with a
non-democratic government, can produce large-scale changes very
rapidly.
The USA has long operated as the world's lone super power. We
will be joined by China shortly.
Is China actually holding the debt and doing nothing with it? Or
have they invested their future interest payments into vital
natural resources across Africa and other places?
Think about it, even if we default somehow, China could come out
on top.
Oldefarte| 2.16.10 @ 11:47AM
Excellent thoughts, Philip! The one and only hope for this
country has begun with the elections in NJ, Vaginia and
Massachusetts [and they must continue beginning with the November
2010 elections]!!!!
Observer| 2.15.10 @ 5:50PM
Very soon China will become the world leader if we continue like now. Now china buys Greece debt, which country will be next?
clasamente fotbal
PCC| 2.15.10 @ 8:03PM
Maybe we shold send a copy of Gov. Christie's speech to the NJ legislature to the White House and to all members of Congress. Just a thought.
Sam| 2.15.10 @ 9:56PM
Actually, it's not just debt that should make us wary of China. Most U.S. companies are outsourcing their production to China because where they can get laborers happy to work for low wages. Also, China has fewer environmental restrictions/taxes and with a non-democratic government, can produce large-scale changes very rapidly.
The USA has long operated as the world's lone super power. We will be joined by China shortly.
Floyd Looney| 2.16.10 @ 2:10AM
Is China actually holding the debt and doing nothing with it? Or have they invested their future interest payments into vital natural resources across Africa and other places?
Think about it, even if we default somehow, China could come out on top.
Oldefarte| 2.16.10 @ 11:47AM
Excellent thoughts, Philip! The one and only hope for this country has begun with the elections in NJ, Vaginia and Massachusetts [and they must continue beginning with the November 2010 elections]!!!!