A new Washington Post/ABC poll finds that Republicans
have narrowed the gap against President Obama on every major
issue, and now have pulled even with Democrats on the generic
Congressional ballot. (Story
here, full results
here).
When asked who they trust more to handle the "main problems the
nation faces," Democrats' advantage over Republicans has shrunk
to 43 to 37. The six point gap is the narrowest since Democrats
took control of Congress, and it compares to a 26 point gap
around this time last year.
The gap has also narrowed substantially when people are asked
whether they trust Obama or Republicans more on every issue. On
the economy, Americans now favor Obama by just five points,
compared to 25 points last February; on health care, the gap has
narrowed to five points, compared with 28 points as recently as
June; on the deficit, it's now just two points, compared with 26
points in June; and on terrorism, it's down to five points, vs.
21 points in June.
Republicans and Democrats are now tied at 46 percent on the
generic Congressional ballot -- compared with 12 point deficit
for Republicans as recently as Novemeber. In addition, when asked
whether they were going to vote for their current representative
or "look around," those polled said they would look around by 56
percent to 26 percent margin.
Taken together, the results spell trouble for Democrats, because
the findings are consistent with the type of polling we've seen
in 1994 and 2006, the most recent election years in which
controll of Congress changed.
The silver lining for Democrats is that it's still only February,
so they have almost nine months until the election. If the
economy shows enough improvement by then, they could limit the
damage. Yet if current trends continue, it'll be a bloody
November for them.
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Big Jim| 2.10.10 @ 3:44PM
The GOP has been way up on Rasmusson for months. This "main stream" poll is just a lagging indicator.
Pingback| 2.10.10 @ 6:43PM
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