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The much-anticipated Public Policy Polling survey shows Republican Scott Brown leading Democrat Martha Coakley 48 percent to 47 percent in the Massachusetts special election campaign to replace the late Sen. Edward M. Kennedy. Republicans are more enthusiastic about turning out than Democrats by 66 percent to 48 percent; Brown leads among independents by 63 percent to 31 percent; Brown’s favorability among unaffiliated voters is 70 percent. Independents oppose the Democratic health care plan 59 percent to 27 percent. Brown has a net favorable rating of 32 points.

The pollsters note that there are still many things Coakley could do to turn the race around: run more effectively on Ted Kennedy’s legacy, tie Brown to national Republicans who remain unpopular in Massachusetts, turn out the larger universe of Democratic voters in the commonwealth. But this is the second set of poll numbers that explains why Democrats are starting to talk about delaying Brown’s certification until a health care bill is passed rather than defeating him in the special election. The full poll numbers can be read here (pdf).

View all comments (52) |

Margie| 1.9.10 @ 8:02PM

www.brownforussenate.com/

Pingback| 1.9.10 @ 8:11PM

Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley by 1 point in MA Senate race « Wintery Knight links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Commentary Events Humor Mentoring News Personal Podcasts Polemics Polls Videos Older » 01/09/2010 • 8:00 PM Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley by 1 point in MA Senate race Story here on the American Spectator. (H/T ECM) Excerpt: The much-anticipated Public Policy Polling survey shows Republican Scott Brown leading Democrat Martha Coakley 48 percent to 47 percent in the Massachusetts special…

Raoul Ortega| 1.9.10 @ 9:10PM

Go for it Dems! Give us another example of how you on the Left are lousy winners and even worse when losers.

rice owl| 1.9.10 @ 10:01PM

So what is the national republican party doing to help Brown on election night? How many "just found" absentee ballots are going to show up a couple of days after the 19th. Brown will have to win by 20 points to get certified. Where is the support from the national party?

PCC| 1.9.10 @ 10:30PM

Regardless of the outcome of this special election, Massachusetts' reflexive liberalism will soon die following Ted Kennedy's death. Yes, it is likely to remain a predominantly Democratic state for another decade or more, but Kennedy's complete dominance of the state party's machinery prevented even moderate Democrats from getting a look in, especially in the congressional delegation. This will now begin to change, hopefully starting next week.

Eric Cartman | 1.10.10 @ 3:59AM

I'm not going to believe it until Bob shows up with a chart of graph or something.

Margie| 1.10.10 @ 12:53PM

Ha!

Pingback| 1.10.10 @ 6:36AM

Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley by one point in MA Senate race | Health-Fitness|Medi links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Guo Zhua Xia Google My Yahoo! newsgator Bloglines iNezha   Powered by Max Banner Ads   Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley by one point in MA Senate race January 10th, 2010 | Tags: Story here on the American Spectator. (H/T ECM) Excerpt: The much-anticipated Public Policy Polling survey shows Republican Scott Brown leading Democrat Martha Coakley 48 percent to 47 percent in the Massachusetts special…

Lullaby's, Legends and Lies| 1.10.10 @ 7:44AM

According to a new Boston Globe poll just released in the last 24 hours, Martha Coakley is leading Scott Brown, big time (15 points). So what does this say about these polls?

Boston Globe “Democrat Martha Coakley, buoyed by her durable statewide popularity, enjoys a solid, 15-percentage-point lead over Republican rival Scott Brown as the race for US Senate enters the homestretch, according to a new Boston Globe poll of likely voters.”

Personally, I think the Boston Globe is in Brown’s pocket, and have just released these crazy numbers, just to calm down the Liberal base up there, so that they all stay home on election night (what a wonderful/evil plan).

One of these polls is completely out of whack, but which one, they both can't be true? Now I’ve been reading some of the comments on the Globe, and the Herald (for entertainment purposes only), and at least according to the responses there, Brown is the talk of the town up there. So my prediction is, Coakley loses to Brown, just like the Red Sox lose to the Yankees. Sorry Northern Rebel, but I had to go there!!

martin j smith| 1.10.10 @ 8:00AM

I do not know the truth of the polls, but one thing I will point out: The Boston Globe =The New York Times. That said, during the 08 election the NYT had Obama up by about 15%. Rassmusen bot it right %6+- . Thus, this could be part of a pattern or pure lies for propaganda purposes to discourage voters for Brown.

hellbilly13| 1.10.10 @ 8:42AM

As a life long resident of Mass, I can't get too excited over Brown's increasing numbers. A spokesman for Secretary of the Commonwealth, William Galvin has already stated that the election will not be certified until Feb. 20,allowing Sen. Paul Kirk to retain the 60th vote for Obamcare. Once again, the fix is in.

Ken (Old Texican)| 1.10.10 @ 9:11AM

Folks,
I just can't get excited by the MA special election.

I would be thrilled if Brown won, BUT:

I'm just afraid conservative MA voters threw up their hands in defeat a long time ago.

Lullaby's, Legends and Lies| 1.10.10 @ 9:31AM

Don't buy into the Democratic hype Ken!! I've been reading the posts on the Boston Globe, and Herald, and it is decidedly in favor of Brown. The Folks up there, are completely fired up about this guy, and sick about what's going on in D.C., and the Kennedy's in particular. I sent Brown's campaign $100 of my hard earned money, just a few days ago, just for the fact, that I'm buying into this surge now too. I was off on D-23 in NY in November (but only slightly), but I don't think I'm wrong this time. Don't give up on the Northeast just yet Ken, there's still some Patriots left up there, they're just a bit hard to find is all. And now that the Globe has given Coakley a 15 point lead in their latest poll (ha!!), I think a lot of Liberals, will stay home on the 19th, or at least, that's what I hope will happen.

The Miracle In Massachusetts (finger's crossed)!!

Ken (OLd Texican)| 1.10.10 @ 10:21AM

OK, Thanks LL&L
I have a lot of shareholders in MA. I will begin calling them this afternoon.
(Sigh)
and TEAM America will step to the plate $$ and with phone-calls to the Rotaries and chambers of commerce.
Thanks for the heads up.

Lullaby's, Legends and Lies| 1.10.10 @ 2:10PM

You the Man Ken!! I can't wait for the 19th to come around, it feels like a late Christmas gift.

Mary| 1.11.10 @ 3:13PM

Hey, Ken--I'm in Florida, and I sent $100 the other day and am getting ready to send another $100. I can't vote in MA, but I can send money.
You're doing the right thing!

martin j smith| 1.10.10 @ 2:00PM

do not take at face value ANY MSM POLL.
As I stated above the NYT ( owns the Boston Glob )
so its 6 of one and half a dozen of the other.
If you live is Massssssssss. vote,vote,vote,vote,vote--Ignore any msm stories period.

David Stoman| 1.10.10 @ 4:53PM

If ever people got out to vote, please Republican's, make a special effort, go to the polls. Help the sick, old and anyone else that needs to vote. The country needs this one, more than ever in history. Keep your freedom, vote Republican.

alin | 1.10.10 @ 9:27PM

As a life long resident of Mass, I can't get too excited over Brown's increasing numbers. A spokesman for Secretary of the Commonwealth, Willianike outletm Galvin has already stated that the election will not becadidas outletertified until Feb. 20,allowing Sen. Paul Kirk to retain the 60th vote for Obamcare. Once again, the fix is in.

Mary| 1.11.10 @ 3:22PM

Hey, Alin. I grew up in Mass and live in Fla now. Understand it's hard to get excited. BUT even if, worst case scenario, Brown loses, a close race will still be a monumental shift and send a huge message. Even if he wins and doesn't get certified prior to the healthcare vote, he will still be able to vote on other important issues. BUT--best case scenario is as follows--you decide to vote, send in some money, and bring as many friends to vote with you as your car can hold. You could even make two trips! Get friends to drive other friends! It's the decision to stay home and not vote that will sink Brown. Don't do that! Go, Alin!

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Pingback| 1.11.10 @ 12:36PM

Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley by one point in MA Senate race | Health-Fitness|Medi links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Guo Zhua Xia Google My Yahoo! newsgator Bloglines iNezha   Powered by Max Banner Ads   Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley by one point in MA Senate race January 11th, 2010 | Tags: Story here on the American Spectator. (H/T ECM) Excerpt: The much-anticipated Public Policy Polling survey shows Republican Scott Brown leading Democrat Martha Coakley 48 percent to 47 percent in the Massachusetts special…

Pingback| 1.14.10 @ 3:37PM

Coakley leads Brown by 8 in latest poll, but . . . links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Brown should not, by rights, be anywhere near as close as 8 points. That is a good number, especially since the Globe had Coakley up by 15 on Sunday. Rasmussen has Brown down by 2 and PPP had him up by 1 over the weekend. As for the Blue Mass Group poll, it appears, for what it's worth, that this is a Dem polling outfit. It is also a small sample of only 500 likelies, which puts the MOE at a somewhat…

Pingback| 1.14.10 @ 3:42PM

Coakley leads Brown by 8 in latest poll, but . . . - Bill Dupray - American Conserva links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…Brown should not, by rights, be anywhere near as close as 8 points. That is a good number, especially since the Globe had Coakley up by 15 on Sunday. Rasmussen has Brown down by 2 and PPP had him up by 1 over the weekend. As for the Blue Mass Group poll, it appears, for what it’s worth, that this is a Dem polling outfit. It is also a small sample of only 500 likelies, which puts the MOE at a…

Pingback| 1.15.10 @ 12:30PM

Coakley leads Brown by 8 in latest poll, but . . . links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:

…the Globe had Coakley up by 15 on Sunday. Rasmussen has Brown down by 2 and PPP had him up by 1 over the weekend. As for the Blue Mass Group poll, it appears, for what it’s worth, that this is a Dem polling…

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I was off on D-23 in NY in November (but only slightly), but I don't think I'm wrong this time. fax ratings

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More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III

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