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The Spectacle Blog
That’s what the Public Policy Polling Institute is saying about the special election for U.S. Senate in Massachusetts, having looked at the numbers due to come out this weekend. Two key points on the matchup between Democratic Attorney General Martha Coakley and Republican State Sen. Scott Brown, according to the outfit’s website:
At this point a plurality of those planning to turn out oppose the health care bill. The massive enthusiasm gap we saw in Virginia is playing itself out in Massachusetts as well. Republican voters are fired up and they’re going to turn out. Martha Coakley needs to have a coherent message up on the air over the last ten days that her election is critical to health care passing and Ted Kennedy’s legacy- right now Democrats in the state are not feeling a sense of urgency.
-Scott Brown’s favorables are up around 60%, a product of his having had the airwaves to himself for the last week. By comparison Bob McDonnell’s were at 55% right before his election and Chris Christie’s were only at 43%. Coakley’s campaign or outside groups need to tie Brown’s image to national Republicans and knock him down a notch over the final week of the campaign.
Even with these numbers, everything would have to break right for a Republican to get elected to Ted Kennedy’s Senate seat. But at the very least, Brown is starting to look like the most serious Republican senatorial candidate in Massachusetts since Bill Weld took on John Kerry in 1996.
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More Blog Posts by W. James Antle, III
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Pingback| 1.8.10 @ 4:40PM
Twitter Trackbacks for The American Spectator : AmSpecBlog : "A Losable Race" for De links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Cheapie| 1.8.10 @ 4:53PM
I live in Cambridge-- moonbat central. Our main artery of business, Mass Ave. is a sad trail of failed businesses. The business taxes are huge. The utterly corrupt overpaid liberal leftwing political cesspool here is propped up by the govt dependant, union thugs, trust fund lefties and the bowtied bumkissers in academia. The clueless students of course vote a la what is cool and liberal.
I would say Scott Brown might get about 25% of the vote in Cambridge. If he gets that many he actually has a chance. In 2008 Cambridge went 93-7 for Obama. It helps too that Deval Patrick has turned into a total joke. Lefties here have the sick feeling that Obama is just another fraud like Patrick.
DrTomVoter| 1.9.10 @ 9:58AM
Interesting stuff, Cheapie. A Brown victory would be ideal, but if he loses, the margin, and demographics such as those in your second paragraph, will be very telling.
Margie| 1.8.10 @ 5:06PM
Here's Scott Bown's website:
These are the types of guys we need to be backing now. I believe the voting is in 2 weeks there.
http://www.brownforussenate.com/
sinanju| 1.9.10 @ 4:00AM
I've got a feeling it could be a better than fighting chance for Scott Brown. I confess I've never set foot in MA but all I've heard and read tells me that MA is suffering serious Kennedy fatigue and massive Obama buyers' remorse. This Martha Coakley certainly does not seem to be trying very hard and she does not seem capable of generating any enthusiasm whereas Scott Brown seems about as conservative as it is possible to be and still be in MA. He seems to be doing everything right; tireless shoe-leather campaigning and grassroots fundamentals while also eagerly working the national conservative media.
If Chris Christie could actually beat Corzine in NJ, and, let's be honest, he did NOT deserve to win, then an energetic, dynamic conservative like Brown should do even better.
Like the article says: the libs are demoralized while the conservatives are full of passionate intensity. Only the really motivated turn out for special elections and that does not include the youth vote or the welfare vote, even the dragooned union members will probably pull the lever for Brown after their required phone banking and leafleting duties.
Looking over her campaign website her schedule of personal appearances seems mighty phlegmatic for a candidate in the home stretch: a couple of endorsements and two radio debates, thrillsville. Unless you think the widow Vicki and Joe4Oil can turn out the crowds and get them pumped...
martin j smith| 1.9.10 @ 8:21AM
Two things I would be concerned about:
1) Any attempts at voter fraud.
2) Any attempts at delaying ( If this guy wins ) his swearing in so that obamacare can be passed..
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Pingback| 1.9.10 @ 6:50PM
The American Spectator : AmSpecBlog : "A Losable Race" for … Video links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Pingback| 1.9.10 @ 8:11PM
Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley by 1 point in MA Senate race « Wintery Knight links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Sam| 1.9.10 @ 8:42PM
The problem is that MA Democrats have been so arrogant recently. They changed the laws TWICE in order to ensure that a Democratic senator represented them and could vote during the health care debate.
Coakley's lack of enthusiasm sounds like arrogance to me. Even though I generally support Democrats first, if Scott Brown wins, I will laugh very very hard. I love watching arrogant people put in their place...
Pingback| 1.10.10 @ 6:36AM
Scott Brown leads Martha Coakley by one point in MA Senate race | Health-Fitness|Medi links to this page. Here’s an excerpt:
Bill,from WV| 1.10.10 @ 7:58AM
This election is HUGE, this seat could keep the Democrats from being "Filibuster -Proof" !
I listened to Brown on Hannity, this guy has got it together!
Go Brown!
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