The Commerce Department has revised third quarter GDP down,
again. Unfortunately, what originally appeared to be fairly
strong growth of 3.5 percent was first downgraded to 2.8 percent,
and now again to 2.2 percent. While not that much of a
difference, the point is that in the best case scenario we would
be seeing evidence of a fast, robust recovery. 2.2 percent,
inflated by stimulus measures like Cash for Clunkers, signals
that a slower and weaker recovery is more likely.
James Pethokoukis
guesses that mere 2 percent growth heading into the 2010
midterm elections translates inoto a "1994-esque" scenario with
the Democrats losing 40-plus seats in the House and five-plus
Senate seats. When he makes that prediction, though, he's
assuming a relationship between GDP growth and jobs that may not
apply to the current scenario. If
job growth lags behind even anemic GDP growth, I wonder where
that puts the Democrats.
Big Java| 12.22.09 @ 10:06AM
Prediction: Before the 2010 election, the economy will be so robust (according to the state-run media) that the dems will "look" unbeatable.