Even for a country that prides itself on its revolutionary
credentials, Iran has been unusually bellicose in recent weeks,
rejecting a nuclear deal it had earlier appeared to embrace and
threatening to build new uranium-enrichment plants in defiance
of international restrictions.
One reason, Iran specialists say, is that the embattled regime
fears showing weakness in the face of persistent domestic
political opposition and rising foreign pressure. Some even
question whether supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the
Shi'ite Muslim cleric chosen to lead the country 20 years ago,
is still in charge.
Ayatollah Khamenei may instead now be subordinate to the
Revolutionary Guards and other paramilitary forces that keep
his government afloat.
Patrick Clawson, an Iran specialist at the Washington Institute
for Near East Policy, said the country's decision-making
abilities appear paralyzed. That may be why Iran has so far
failed to follow through with a deal it accepted in principle
in October to transfer nuclear materials to Russia and France
for further processing.
Divisions within the ruling establishment probably offer the best
hope for the ultimate triumph of democratic forces.
The more internal squabbling, the better!
racking| 1.7.10 @ 12:30AM
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