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With the news today that Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty has endorsed Conservative Party candidate Doug Hoffman in the three-way congressional race in upstate New York's 23rd District, now the pressure is on former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee to follow suit.

"After reviewing the candidates' positions, I'm endorsing Doug Hoffman in New York's special election," Pawlenty said in a statement issued to the conservative blog Red State, which has strongly supported Hoffman.

"Doug understands the federal government needs to quit spending so much, will vote against tax increases, and protect key values like the right to vote in private in union elections," Pawlenty said.

Sarah Palin's endorsement last week may have prompted Pawlenty -- like Palin, a possible contender for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination -- to back Hoffman's challenge to the GOP establishment, which is supporting Dede Scozzafava, a liberal Republican state assemblywoman, in the Nov. 3 special election.

With both Pawlenty and Palin officially endorsing Hoffman, all eyes are focused on Huckabee. Now a popular Fox News personality, the folksy Huckabee last week praised Hoffman during an appearance on Neil Cavuto's show, but stopped short of an endorsement. Speaking of the pro-choice Scozzafava, however, Huckabee said he couldn't "support somebody who does not believe that every human life has value and meaning,"

Huckabee finds himself in an awkward position in the New York campaign to fill the House seat vacated by Republican Rep. John McHugh, appointed by President Obama to be Secretary of the Army. Huckabee is due to speak Tuesday night in Syracuse at a New York Conservative Party awards dinner but, as he told Cavuto, he won't be giving "an endorsement speech."

Huckabee's speech was scheduled before the NY23 election became the focus of a national political maelstrom. Most New York media expect Hoffman also to attend Tuesday's dinner, although the congressional candidate has not yet publicly announced whether he will attend.

Some Hoffman campaign officials are concerned that, if Hoffman shows up at the Syracuse dinner, it might be viewed as distracting from Huckabee's spotlight. Conservative Party officials don't want to put pressure on their Republican guest of honor. Huckabee won't endorse Scozzafava, and he certainly wouldn't support the little-known Democratic candidate Bill Owens. Therefore, Huckabee's status as a "friendly neutral" in the three-way election may be the best the Hoffman campaign can hope for.

However, Red State's Erick Erickson is laying down an ultimatum to any Republican who wants grassroots conservative support for a 2012 presidential bid:

At a time when the conservative brand is ascending and the Republican brand is still in the gutter, candidates like Romney and Huckabee have a chance to man up and stand with the base of the GOP -- a base that is tired of TARP, No Child Left Behind, indictments, and out of control spending.

Erickson says Romney and Huckabee have until noon Wednesday to endorse Hoffman or . . . well, or else. Guess that means Erickson has already scratched Newt Gingrich off his 2012 list.

About the Author

Robert Stacy McCain is co-author (with Lynn Vincent) of Donkey Cons: Sex, Crime, and Corruption in the Democratic Party (Nelson Current). He blogs at The Other McCain.

http://spectator.org/blog/2009/10/26/ny23-first-palin-now-pawlenty

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